MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Domingo GermanAlex CobbOrioles106103114101121949.51551:05 PM
    Aaron SanchezMichael FulmerTigers103981041031011049.0-1251:10 PM
    Jon LesterSteven MatzMets909310190921068.01301:10 PM
    Jeremy HellicksonAnibal SanchezBraves1021061169881989.0-1051:35 PM
    Brent SuterDylan CoveyWhite Sox9590122991101069.51452:10 PM
    Mike ClevingerKyle GibsonTwins10510395105113939.01002:10 PM
    Nick KinghamMichael WachaCardinals911029710082958.0-1352:15 PM
    Daniel GossettJakob JunisRoyals1031028510276949.5-1152:15 PM
    Alex WoodChad BettisRockies1381211171161188711.01203:10 PM
    Jake ArrietaDereck RodriguezGiants90975310074998.01004:05 PM
    Doug FisterTyler SkaggsAngels919691961021098.5-1954:07 PM
    Dan StrailyMatt KochDiamondbacks1161091061051111009.0-1254:10 PM
    Blake SnellFelix HernandezMariners919610594971048.0-1054:10 PM
    Luis CastilloTyson RossPadres92978597971037.5-1106:10 PM
    Rick PorcelloCharlie MortonAstros8393109941091018.0-1807:38 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Jake Arrieta (R)at SF 226.721.67.913.70.993.181.20$9,100$8,50010524.8
    Chad Bettis (R)v LAD112.315.17.08.11.204.251.29$5,900$5,80010222.3
    Luis Castillo (R)at SD 151.725.29.016.21.364.091.23$6,800$7,9008425.8
    Mike Clevinger (R)at MIN193.325.210.614.60.793.121.23$11,100$9,1009322.2
    Alex Cobb (R)v NYY225.716.05.810.11.244.311.34$4,000$5,60012223.8
    Dylan Covey (R)v MIL87.314.310.63.62.066.901.63$4,600$6,00010323.5
    Doug Fister (R)at LAA145.318.88.610.21.114.581.41$4,200$6,30011020.0
    Michael Fulmer (R)v TOR225.317.86.810.90.844.031.21$7,200$7,5009624.0
    Domingo German (R)at BAL49.028.012.315.61.294.781.35$8,400$6,6008525.5
    Kyle Gibson (R)v CLE221.019.59.210.31.184.641.45$7,800$7,40010422.7
    Daniel Gossett (R)at KC 110.716.77.49.22.036.101.59$5,100$5,9009117.6
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at ATL207.015.26.29.01.704.781.19$7,500$6,60010320.6
    Felix Hernandez (R)v TB 153.020.18.212.01.655.001.34$7,800$6,50010322.2
    Jakob Junis (R)v OAK165.720.26.014.21.474.021.23$9,000$8,80010323.0
    Nick Kingham (R)at STL24.026.04.221.91.133.751.00$8,200$8,1009322.5
    Matt Koch (R)v MIA48.012.36.95.41.694.881.33$6,100$7,0008123.1
    Jon Lester (L)at NYM243.722.98.014.81.263.921.29$10,400$8,4006925.8
    Steven Matz (L)v CHC112.318.18.19.91.685.051.42$6,900$6,40011720.3
    Charlie Morton (R)v BOS214.328.08.119.90.973.191.14$10,400$9,70012318.9
    Rick Porcello (R)at HOU277.321.05.315.81.434.381.33$8,000$8,70010721.1
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v PHI3.322.25.616.70.002.701.80$5,000$5,5009326.7
    Tyson Ross (R)v CIN114.720.411.98.40.945.181.46$9,100$7,7009720.0
    Aaron Sanchez (R)at DET96.315.812.43.41.214.581.62$8,000$6,6009320.4
    Anibal Sanchez (R)v WAS123.321.56.614.82.125.911.56$5,500$5,60010220.4
    Tyler Skaggs (L)v TEX145.022.67.615.01.304.161.34$9,500$8,4009625.3
    Blake Snell (L)at SEA199.723.69.913.71.043.521.21$11,100$9,30011719.1
    Dan Straily (R)at ARI213.321.38.512.81.564.181.31$7,300$6,7006524.9
    Brent Suter (L)at CWS140.018.95.713.21.223.921.29$7,700$6,9008927.2
    Michael Wacha (R)v PIT228.722.08.313.60.833.741.31$9,700$8,70010218.9
    Alex Wood (L)at COL214.724.25.518.60.923.021.05$7,300$6,40010022.6

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Jake Arrieta (R)at SF 23.711.212.51.010.30921.76.415.30.760.256
    Chad Bettis (R)v LAD17.77.99.80.740.30115.06.58.51.480.356
    Luis Castillo (R)at SD 22.310.012.31.630.32128.08.219.81.130.294
    Mike Clevinger (R)at MIN22.810.911.90.780.30225.511.014.41.010.304
    Alex Cobb (R)v NYY17.58.19.41.390.35414.74.310.41.250.327
    Dylan Covey (R)v MIL15.411.04.41.880.37013.310.33.02.230.396
    Doug Fister (R)at LAA15.19.35.81.610.37718.27.111.10.710.288
    Michael Fulmer (R)v TOR18.07.210.80.810.29519.66.213.50.920.285
    Domingo German (R)at BAL23.811.412.41.380.27832.113.218.91.170.332
    Kyle Gibson (R)v CLE16.68.77.91.130.36119.39.010.31.260.328
    Daniel Gossett (R)at KC 13.49.14.31.660.38619.06.212.82.270.376
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at ATL16.27.78.51.520.32818.54.414.11.360.303
    Felix Hernandez (R)v TB 18.19.98.21.420.34120.48.312.01.350.318
    Jakob Junis (R)v OAK17.96.511.41.250.32722.45.516.91.660.313
    Nick Kingham (R)at STL18.84.214.60.770.31433.34.229.21.460.257
    Matt Koch (R)v MIA15.28.76.51.020.26410.44.45.91.760.383
    Jon Lester (L)at NYM29.14.025.10.680.24522.18.313.81.240.308
    Steven Matz (L)v CHC16.98.18.90.500.31622.16.515.71.510.325
    Charlie Morton (R)v BOS34.78.526.20.780.25221.68.213.41.080.328
    Rick Porcello (R)at HOU21.75.416.31.280.31120.63.816.81.130.304
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v PHI20.00.020.00.000.25325.012.512.50.000.513
    Tyson Ross (R)v CIN18.111.36.80.950.34922.311.710.60.860.308
    Aaron Sanchez (R)at DET19.712.67.00.930.31617.86.611.30.820.291
    Anibal Sanchez (R)v WAS22.38.713.61.540.34219.25.913.32.320.384
    Tyler Skaggs (L)v TEX22.26.116.20.720.28622.89.013.71.370.341
    Blake Snell (L)at SEA27.410.417.00.160.23723.110.912.11.050.318
    Dan Straily (R)at ARI20.211.78.51.150.31421.76.115.61.860.324
    Brent Suter (L)at CWS13.06.56.51.020.29820.65.415.21.300.329
    Michael Wacha (R)v PIT19.78.910.90.650.29721.67.214.31.070.334
    Alex Wood (L)at COL24.35.918.40.520.28024.66.118.51.000.272

    The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Derek VanRiper plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: RotoWireDVR, DraftKings: BentleysChair, Yahoo: d.vanriper,.
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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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