Manchester City v. Arsenal DraftKings Projections

Manchester City v. Arsenal DraftKings Projections

This article is part of our DraftKings Fantasy Soccer series.

Below are median projections from a new model I developed during the Coronavirus pandemic league suspension, which means they are different than the ones we have elsewhere on the site (these will become the default projections soon enough). You will find team projections for each relevant statistical category and fantasy-point projections for each individual player. Additionally, there will be two sets of projections for each player: one that assumes the projected starters play 90 minutes (they won't) and one that guesses who will be substituted and when. I would love to say there's a specific formula that went into the substitution estimates, but there is simply no blueprint for how teams will substitute and rotate in mid-season matches following a three-month league suspension because of a global pandemic. Sorry.

Team Projections

Team

G

A

S

SOG

P

CC

CR

CRNFSFCTKLWINT

GC

CS%SVWin%
MCI2.551.9721.507.12596.7317.1127.029.598.439.7914.758.651.0236.181.7973.01
ARS1.020.687.802.80344.106.1115.075.209.719.4315.899.182.557.844.5810.66

Updated 2:37 p.m. ET

Player Projections

90-minute projections are based on all projected starters playing 90 minutes. For a spreadsheet of the projections you can upload to the RotoWire lineup optimizer, please click here. All four columns of projections are included in the spreadsheet, so just be sure to delete three of them if you try to upload them to RotoWire.

Note: all columns are sortable

Updated

Below are median projections from a new model I developed during the Coronavirus pandemic league suspension, which means they are different than the ones we have elsewhere on the site (these will become the default projections soon enough). You will find team projections for each relevant statistical category and fantasy-point projections for each individual player. Additionally, there will be two sets of projections for each player: one that assumes the projected starters play 90 minutes (they won't) and one that guesses who will be substituted and when. I would love to say there's a specific formula that went into the substitution estimates, but there is simply no blueprint for how teams will substitute and rotate in mid-season matches following a three-month league suspension because of a global pandemic. Sorry.

Team Projections

Team

G

A

S

SOG

P

CC

CR

CRNFSFCTKLWINT

GC

CS%SVWin%
MCI2.551.9721.507.12596.7317.1127.029.598.439.7914.758.651.0236.181.7973.01
ARS1.020.687.802.80344.106.1115.075.209.719.4315.899.182.557.844.5810.66

Updated 2:37 p.m. ET

Player Projections

90-minute projections are based on all projected starters playing 90 minutes. For a spreadsheet of the projections you can upload to the RotoWire lineup optimizer, please click here. All four columns of projections are included in the spreadsheet, so just be sure to delete three of them if you try to upload them to RotoWire.

Note: all columns are sortable

Updated at 2:42 p.m. ET

Player NameTeamOpponentPosDKPricePtsFloorMIN
Gabriel JesusManchester CityArsenalFWF9,60019.9811.2390
Riyad MahrezManchester CityArsenalFWRM/F10,80023.1515.5590
Raheem SterlingManchester CityArsenalFWRM/F9,80017.0311.3390
Kevin De BruyneManchester CityArsenalMCM12,40024.6017.9190
Ilkay GundoganManchester CityArsenalMCM7,40011.319.3690
David SilvaManchester CityArsenalMCM8,00015.8610.9990
Eric GarciaManchester CityArsenalDCD3,4004.062.8990
Aymeric LaporteManchester CityArsenalDCD4,0006.144.9890
Benjamin MendyManchester CityArsenalDLD6,20010.908.9890
Kyle WalkerManchester CityArsenalDRD5,2008.446.2890
EdersonManchester CityArsenalGKGK6,8008.022.5590
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangArsenalManchester CItyFWM/F9,20010.876.2390
Edward NketiahArsenalManchester CItyAMRF6,0008.185.3790
Bukayo SakaArsenalManchester CItyAMLD4,6009.047.4190
Joe WillockArsenalManchester CItyAMCM3,6008.092.6390
Matteo GuendouziArsenalManchester CItyDMCM4,2006.506.2190
Granit XhakaArsenalManchester CItyDMCM3,4005.114.8690
Hector BellerinArsenalManchester CItyDRD4,8006.195.0190
Pablo MariArsenalManchester CItyDCD3,0003.223.1290
Shkodran MustafiArsenalManchester CItyDCD3,2004.053.1490
Kieran TierneyArsenalManchester CItyDLD5,4007.387.0590
Bernd LenoArsenalManchester CItyGKGK4,2006.095.1890
Player NameTeamPosPriceMinFtpsFloor

90-Min 

Proj

90-Min

 Floor

Kevin De BruyneMCIM12,4007521.5915.5725.5418.37
Riyad MahrezMCIM/F10,8007018.7412.5423.8115.93
Sergio AgueroMCIF10,4007518.038.6321.3410.27
Raheem SterlingMCIM/F9,8007013.078.8616.5811.28
Nicolas PepeARSM/F7,8009011.629.0311.528.96
Ilkay GundoganMCIM7,4009011.589.5611.469.48
Benjamin MendyMCID6,2008010.588.2011.579.08
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangARSM/F9,2009010.206.1110.186.08
RodriMCIM4,400909.407.799.357.77
Alexandre LacazetteARSF7,000809.075.9010.176.61
Kyle WalkerMCID5,200909.006.358.936.29
EdersonMCIGK6,800908.822.688.832.69
Dani CeballosARSM5,000808.357.789.328.70
FernandinhoMCID3,600906.885.316.895.32
Aymeric LaporteMCID4,000906.464.896.474.90
Bukayo SakaARSD4,600706.035.207.626.64
Mesut OzilARSM5,600705.955.227.566.65
Bernd LenoARSGK4,200905.384.475.314.40
Hector BellerinARSD4,800805.224.275.824.77
Granit XhakaARSM3,400904.914.714.884.69
Gabriel JesusMCIF9,600204.542.590.000.00
Bernardo SilvaMCIM/F8,600203.972.750.000.00
David LuizARSD3,800903.873.023.863.01
Claudio BravoMCIGK6,60003.653.653.653.65
Leroy SaneMCIM/F9,000153.452.160.000.00
Pablo MariARSD3,000903.443.133.443.12
David SilvaMCIM8,000152.761.880.000.00
Kieran TierneyARSD5,400201.481.470.000.00
Matteo GuendouziARSM4,200201.391.340.000.00
Oleksandr ZinchenkoMCID5,200101.161.150.000.00
Gabriel MartinelliARSM/F7,600101.140.840.000.00
Edward NketiahARSF6,000100.780.520.000.00
Sokratis PapastathopoulosARSD4,000100.410.340.000.00
Joe WillockARSM3,60000.000.000.000.00
Reiss NelsonARSM/F5,80000.000.000.000.00
Shkodran MustafiARSD3,20000.000.000.000.00
Sead KolasinacARSD3,80000.000.000.000.00
Cedric SoaresARSD5,00000.000.000.000.00
Ainsley Maitland-NilesARSD3,80000.000.000.000.00
Rob HoldingARSD3,00000.000.000.000.00
Lucas TorreiraARSM4,60000.000.000.000.00
Joao CanceloMCID6,40000.000.000.000.00
John StonesMCID3,40000.000.000.000.00
Nicolas OtamendiMCID3,20000.000.000.000.00
Phil FodenMCIM7,20000.000.000.000.00

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andrew M. Laird
Andrew is a former RotoWire contributor. He was the 2017 and 2018 FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year. He is a nine-time FSWA award finalist, including twice for Football Writer of the Year.
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