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Johansen took a step back last season after generating 26 goals and 63 points in 79 games during the 2021-22 campaign, slipping to 12 goals and 28 points over 55 appearances in 2022-23. Johansen's impressive performance in 2021-22 was fueled by an unsustainable 22.0 shooting percentage, so some of his offensive decline was anticipated. He dropped back to 14.0 percent last year, but Johansen's struggles were compounded by him missing the final 27 games of Nashville's season after he was cut by a skate. He was acquired by Colorado in the offseason to help bolster the team's center depth. Johansen is likely to slot in on the second line this campaign. He should be able to at least partially bounce back with a best-case scenario resulting in him flirting with the 60-point plateau in 2023-24.
Those fortunate enough to nab Johansen at a massive discount in fantasy drafts last fall were rewarded handsomely. He managed 26 goals and 63 points in 79 games on the heels of finishing with 21 goals and 58 points in 116 games in the prior two years combined. Although the production appears excellent on paper, the driving force behind Johansen's breakout was an entirely unsustainable 22.0 percent shooting percentage. Johansen's previous career high was 13.9 percent, to give you an idea of the heater he was on. The 30-year-old still might score enough to eek out late-round fantasy value in 2021-22, but the odds of a repeat performance are virtually none.
Johansen's game has been trending in the wrong direction for multiple seasons, but it reached a new low in 2020-21, as he managed just seven goals, 22 points and 67 shots on net in 48 games. The Predators left Johansen exposed in the expansion draft in hopes the Kraken would bite, but his $8 million cap hit through 2024-25 was simply too much for any sane-minded team to absorb. All Nashville can do at this point is run the 29-year-old back out there in hopes he finds his game. As for fantasy managers, Johansen is nothing more than a late-round dart throw with some theoretical upside.
The Predators reduced Johansen's role in 2019-20 in an attempt to make him better, but it only made him worse. His 22 assists and 36 points were his lowest totals since his first two seasons in Columbus. The good news is it wasn't all Johansen's fault; his wingers weren't very good at finishing chances. A minor improvement in shooting percentage by his linemates should lead to a significant boost in Johansen's overall offensive production in 2020-21. If everything goes right, Johansen will have 60-point potential this season, but fantasy managers shouldn't treat him like anything more than a high-upside pick in the later rounds of this year's fantasy drafts.
Johansen has firmly established 15 goals as his ceiling over the past three seasons with the Predators, and while that's not a great mark for a top-line center, the 27-year-old did post a career-high 50 assists in 80 games in 2018-19. That heavy assist total helped him record the most points he's had in a season (64) since the 2014-15 campaign, when he racked up 71 points in 82 appearances with Columbus. Johansen has clearly become more of a playmaker than a finisher during his time with Nashville, and as a result, his shot totals have declined pretty steadily over the past four campaigns. The 2010 first-round pick won't set the world on fire in 2019-20, but he'll be an extremely safe fantasy pick that should be able to hit the 15-goal and 60-point marks with relative ease.
Johansen's 2017-18 season was somewhat of a disappointment. With 54 points (15 goals, 39 assists), it was the first time since the 2012-13 lockout-shortened season that he failed to record at least 60 points. Skating on the Predators top line with Filip Forsberg and Viktor Arvidsson, Johansen got off to a very slow start in October, with just eight assists in his first 17 games, but he finished the season strongly with nine points (four goals, five assists) in his last 11 games. He was also solid in the playoffs with 14 points in 13 combined contests against the Avalanche and Jets. Looking ahead, with seven years left on his eight-year, $64 million contract, the 26-year-old Vancouver native is poised to remain the Preds' top center for several years to come. From a fantasy standpoint, Johansen has all the skills to post a 70-point season, as he did four years ago with Columbus, however, falling in the 55- to 65-point range seems more likely.
Johansen topped the 60-point mark for the fourth straight season in 2016-17 – his first full year in a Preds uniform – although the former 33-goal man found twine just 14 times for the second consecutive campaign. Nonetheless, he proceeded to score 13 points in 14 playoff games before being sidelined for the final eight by a thigh injury. That production was enough for the Preds to reward him with an eight-year, $64 million contract in July -- the largest deal in franchise history. In addition to tying for the club lead in points, Johansen also saw the most regular-season minutes among Nashville forwards -- 18:50 per game, including 2:55 on the power play. The 25-year-old is expected to make a full recovery from his playoff injury and be fully healthy once the 2017-18 season opens, so poolies should feel no hesitation in picking him up within the first few rounds of their fantasy drafts.
Johansen got off to a rocky start in Columbus last season, missing 10 of the Blue Jackets’ first 20 games with a mysterious, fatigue-related illness before falling out of favor with coach John Tortorella. As a result, he wound up getting shipped to Nashville in January in exchange for defenseman Seth Jones, a move that resuscitated his career. As the Preds’ new No. 1 center, Johansen scored 34 points (11 of those on the power play) in 42 regular-season games and registered a career-best plus-10 rating. He was a little quiet in the playoffs (8 points in 14 games), but did help the Preds get within one victory of making the Western Conference Finals. Looking ahead, Johansen will reprise his role as the Preds’ top pivot in 2016-17, and he should be even better now that he’s had a chance to familiarize himself with coach Peter Laviolette’s up-tempo system. He also remains surrounded by a strong good supporting cast featuring fellow first-liners Filip Forsberg and James Neal as well as the top defensive pairing of Roman Josi and the newly acquired P.K. Subban.
Johansen missed all of training camp last year due to a contract dispute, but when the puck dropped on the start of the season, he was all business. While his goal total dipped a bit last year, Johansen more than made up for it by dishing out an extra 15 assists, and the sum was enough to put him over the 70-point mark for the first time in his career. We suspect it won't be his last. Obviously, Johansen's got the size, the silky-smooth hands and the ability to unleash rockets with pinpoint aim, but his grit and ice vision really make him the complete package, and he's likely to continue growing into a member of the NHL's elite. Things should only get better with Brandon Saad joining Johansen and Nick Foligno on the Jackets' top line.
After a couple of rough years to begin his NHL career, Johansen finally lived up to his billing as the fourth overall pick in 2010, leading the Blue Jackets in scoring with 33 goals and 63 points and emerging as a true top-line center. He still hasn't entirely answered all the questions about his occasionally inconsistent intensity level, but when he's on his game, Johansen is an absolute beast in the offensive zone - and only 22 years old. Assuming the restricted free agent returns to the fold, the Blue Jackets have found their replacement for Rick Nash as the club's franchise player.
The fourth overall pick in 2010, Johansen split his time between the big club and the AHL last year and, while he drew some criticism for his intensity level, at times his production at Springfield (17 goals and 33 points in 40 games) provided a solid reminder of his upside. The Blue Jackets still lack an established number one center, and if Johansen can find another gear his scoring touch and physical play could yet translate into solid NHL production. He's a work in progress, but he's close to reaching his potential.
Johansen's first season in the NHL was nothing to write home about, as he managed just nine goals and 21 points in 67 games spent mostly on checking lines. He didn't seem able to earn the trust of then-interim coach Todd Richards, but, with another year to work on his skating, and, more importantly, with the top two lines now wide open in the wake of the Rick Nash trade, Johansen will get a chance to win a better offensive placement. Foot speed aside, he has enviable size and top grade tools, and, on a roster suddenly bereft of stars, he's got plenty of room to spread his wings and reach his potential. Definitely remember his name in keeper leagues as your round out your roster.
The Blue Jackets' top prospect and fourth overall pick in 2010 exploded in his final season junior eligibility, racking up 40 goals and 92 points in 63 WHL games while also making an impact in the world junior championships. He could be faster on his skates, but Johansen has size, skill and vision, and stands a good chance of breaking camp with the big club this season. He won't be on a scoring line and a slow start wouldn't be a shock, so don't get any Calder ideas, but he's an excellent keeper candidate for '12-'13.
Johansen blossomed last season as a rookie in the WHL, scoring 69 points in 71 games with Portland and adding another 18 in the postseason to lead the club. He’s big and very skilled, and is equally adept at finding the open man or finding an opening behind a goalie. He doesn’t have the foot speed to be a truly elite NHL center, but in every other facet of the game he’s capable of making an impact. He probably profiles best as a second line player, but in a year or two the Blue Jackets may be sorely tempted to try him alongside Rick Nash and see what kind of havoc those two can wreak together.