Duncan Keith

Duncan Keith

41-Year-Old DefensemanD
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Duncan Keith in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
$Signed a 13-year, $72 million contract extension with the Blackhawks in December of 2009. Traded to the Oilers in July of 2021.
Retiring from hockey
DFree Agent
July 8, 2022
Keith intends to formally retire from professional hockey in the coming days, Pierre LeBrun of TSN reports.
ANALYSIS
The 38-year-old Keith has had a likely Hall of Fame career, putting up 106 goals and 646 points in 1,256 games with the Blackhawks and just a single season with the Oilers. He earned the Norris Trophy twice and the Conn Smythe Trophy once, and Keith hoisted the Stanley Cup three times in Chicago. There's still time left on his deal, and due to the salary-cap recapture mechanism, the Blackhawks will be on the hook for a $5.5 million penalty this season and $1.9 million next season.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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Keith is a future Hall of Famer, potentially a first-ballot one, but his play has been trending downward for years. That didn't stop the Oilers from acquiring him from Chicago in July in exchange for a solid young rearguard in Caleb Jones and a third-round pick. Keith has tallied 42 points in 115 games over the past two campaigns, exactly two fewer than he posted in the 2018-19 season alone. Keith's defensive play is limited at age 38, meaning he has to generate a ton of offense in order to be a productive fantasy asset, and nothing we have seen over the past two campaigns leads us to believe that will be the case in 2021-22. Keith might be worth a late-round gamble because he plays on a team with two of the best players in the game, but that's about it.
Keith missed nine games with a groin injury last season, but he was still the Blackhawks' best blueliner when in the lineup, totaling three goals, 24 assists, 11 power-play points, 111 shots and 117 blocks while averaging an eye-popping 24:23 of ice time over 61 appearances. Long gone are the days of Keith being a top-tier fantasy asset, but at this advanced stage of his career, he's still capable of chipping in 5-plus goals, 30-plus assists, double-digit power-play points, 140-plus shots and 100-plus blocks while posting a positive plus-minus rating over the course of a full season, making him a rock-solid option for fantasy players looking to add a fourth or fifth defenseman in the later rounds of this year's drafts.
Keith enjoyed another solid campaign in 2018-19, notching six goals and 40 points while posting a plus-13 rating in 82 games. The two-time Norris Trophy winner averaged over 23 minutes of ice time per contest last year, but entering his age-36 season, it wouldn't be surprising to see that total drop a bit in 2019-20. Nonetheless, Keith figures to continue to man a spot on Chicago's top pairing and second power-play unit this campaign, and should be able to threaten the 40-point mark while eclipsing the five-goal threshold for a second straight season, making him a nice complimentary piece in most fantasy formats.
Keith's offensive production dropped off significantly in 2017-18, as he failed to eclipse the 40-point mark for the first time since the lockout-shortened 2012-13 season, totaling just two goals and 32 points in 82 appearances. However, the Blackhawks offense and power play struggled as a whole last campaign, which had a noticeable impact on players' stat lines across the board, including Keith. The two-time Norris Trophy winner just racked up six goals and 53 points in 2016-17, so it would be unwise to completely write him off at this point. If Chicago's able to rebound as a team this season, Keith should be able to tally at least 40 points while logging north of 23 minutes of ice time per game, making him a desirable option in most fantasy formats.
Keith enjoyed another highly productive season with Chicago in 2016-17, racking up 53 points (six goals, 47 assists) and 183 shots on goal while averaging a highly impressive 25:37 of ice time per game over 80 contests. The two-time Norris Trophy winner is getting up there in age at 34, but he’s still one of the NHL’s best defensemen, and he has yet to show any signs of slowing down. The 2002 second-round pick will once again be tasked with quarterbacking the Blackhawks’ No. 1 power-play unit in 2017-18 while also logging heavy minutes on the team’s top pairing, a role that should enable him to clear 45 points at the minimum. Keith’s ability as a two-way defender and his consistency as an offensive producer from the back end are more than enough to keep him locked in as a high-end No. 2 option on the blue line in fantasy.
Keith missed a total of 15 games due to injury and suspension in 2015-16, but was his usual productive self when available, notching 43 points (nine goals, 34 assists) with a plus-13 rating over 67 games. The two-time Norris Trophy winner is one of the NHL's best-skating defensemen, and is tasked with logging heavy minutes against the opposing team's top players game in and game out. The 33-year-old Canadian will once again lead the charge from the back end for the 'Hawks in 2016-17, and will return to his pivotal role quarterbacking the team's top power-play unit, further bolstering his fantasy value. Keith's well-rounded game and consistent production are more than enough to solidify his position as a fantastic secondary option at defense in all fantasy formats this season.
There aren’t enough superlatives to truly describe Keith, who just seems to get better and better like a finely cellared wine. He’s trusted with logging the heaviest minutes and against the most dangerous opponents. He controls possession, scores goals, fires brilliant outlet passes, and angles guys out of the play and off the puck. The Hawks are a different squad in 2015-16 than the one that won the Cup and there is plenty of turmoil with the many changes. But Keith will once again lead the attack from the back end, quarterback the power play, and deliver 50 points. He’s as good as they come and a reliable fantasy asset.
If there were people who didn’t consider Keith among the best defensemen in NHL before last season, there are very few who would say the same now after he took home his second Norris Trophy. Keith’s 55 assists in 79 games last season equaled his total in 2009-10 and led all defenseman in the category, offsetting his meager total of six goals. He can bring a little -- no, a lot -- of everything on the blue line, including blocks. We're glad to see his block numbers starting to decline, though. Someone as valuable as Keith shouldn't be stepping into 95 mph slappers with much frequency. Take him off the board as one of the first defenders chosen.
At this point, it's pretty safe to say Keith's 69 points in 2009-10 really were the exception and not the norm. He remains one of the NHL's most beautiful skaters, but he's probably more likely to deliver you 45 points than those 69, with between one third and one half of them coming on the power play. And, of course, there's the elite plus-minus, too.
Keith is a sublime skater and one of the league's top offensive defenders. Will he ever hit 69 points again? Probably not. But he'll certainly deliver more than last season's 40 points. Focus on 50 points and 140 blocked shots. But keeper leaguers should watch his totals closely. If he looks like he's about to finish in the 40-45 point range, he should be put on the fantasy trade block. That could be who he is. And that 2009-10 was just a nice blip on his resume.
It was probably expected that Keith would have a down year after his breakout 2009-10, where he registered 69 points and the Norris Trophy. Both goals and assists were down (7 goals and 38) but also his plus/minus slipped precipitously to minus-1. He will definitely improve on his numbers from 2010-11, but might be hard pressed to duplicate his Norris Trophy season.
If you need a high-scoring fantasy defenseman, consider pursuing Duncan Teeth.. er, Keith. This hard-nosed blueliner lost seven teeth in the playoff clinching game, and later flashed several fan-induced toothless smiles in Chicago's Stanley Cup victory parade. He's been good for 80-plus games in three of the last four years, while acting as a staple on the team's blue line. Best of all, he’s the reigning Norris Trophy winner. He’ll be an attractive buy in all fantasy leagues.
Keith, 26, is an undervalued defenseman and had a quality plus-30 last season with eight goals and 36 assists for 44 points, the most he has tallied in his short NHL career. He is the Hawks most polished defender and should increase his output this season barring an injury.
Keith ranked fifth overall in the NHL last season with a plus-30 rating. At 24, Keith has proven to be exceptionally durable the last two seasons, playing in all 82 contests each year. The addition of Campbell and Huet to the defense should only enhance this young defenseman's fervor and production in the 2008-09 season.
The second part of the Hawks two-headed defense (along with Brent Seabrook), Keith tallied two goals and 29 assists along with 76 penalty minutes while playing all 82 games for the Hawks. After tallying nine goals as a rookie in 2005-06, Keith connected on just 1.6 percent of his shots, so the potential for improvement (ceiling of 35-40 points; double-digit goals) is there as his fellow blueliners continue to develop as well.
The Hawks are looking at Keith to take another step as the team's second best defensive prospect (behind Brent Seabrook). And the club is hoping for better numbers this season (9 goals and 12 assists in 2005-06). Should top last season's number if the team starts picking up their offensive prowess which has been lacking for several years.
Kieth, a 22-year-old defenseman, is very offensive, but he also gets in his fair share of scraps. He needs to become more consistent.
More Fantasy News
Sends helper in win
DEdmonton Oilers  Free Agent
May 26, 2022
Keith notched an assist and blocked four shots in Thursday's 5-4 overtime win over the Flames in Game 5.
ANALYSIS
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Three-point burst Friday
DEdmonton Oilers  Free Agent
May 20, 2022
Keith scored a goal on two shots and added a pair of assists in Friday's 5-3 win over the Flames in Game 2.
ANALYSIS
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Logs power-play assist
DEdmonton Oilers  Free Agent
May 3, 2022
Keith posted a power-play assist, two hits and two blocked shots in Monday's 4-3 loss to the Kings in Game 1.
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Hands out helper
DEdmonton Oilers  Free Agent
April 22, 2022
Keith produced an assist, two shots on goal and two blocked shots in Friday's 6-3 win over the Avalanche.
ANALYSIS
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Impressive in win
DEdmonton Oilers  Free Agent
April 20, 2022
Keith notched an assist, went plus-5 and blocked two shots in Wednesday's 5-2 win over the Stars.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Decision on future imminent
DEdmonton Oilers  Free Agent
July 7, 2022
Keith is expected to provide the Oilers with an answer on the future of his career Friday, Jason Gregor of OilersNation.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Keith logged 21 points in 64 contests last season. The 38-year-old defenseman was reportedly earlier leaning toward playing another year, but it's unclear if he will remain in the league. He has one more year left on his contract, and he'd likely fill a top-four role once again if he chooses to continue playing. If he retires, the Oilers would have over $5.5 million more in cap space to operate with in free agency.
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