The Jets proved me wrong in Week 9, but I'm still sippin' on the haterade. There was no greater moment last week than this: The Old Flinch & Hold.
Overall: 12-5-1
Last Week's Predictions:
Buffalo -1.5 vs New York Jets: LOSS
The Bills botched a big division game and may now find themselves on the outside looking in come playoff time. A few big turnovers between Ryan Fitzpatrick and Fred Jackson - who looked human for the first time this season - led to a Jets' resurgence. Unfortunately for Sanchez and company, they still rank in the bottom quarter of the league in offensive efficiency.
San Francisco -3 vs Washington: WIN
The 49ers won on defense yet again, forcing 3 turnovers against the plummeting Redksins. The Niners have allowed less points (118) than any other team in the league and prevent over 7 points per week from being scored that an average defense would give up. Had it not been for a garbage time Jabar Gaffney TD, San Fran would have won in dominant fashion.
Week 10 Predictions:
New England +1.5 at New York Jets
I'm still not a believer in the Jets. Their offensive efficiency is grouped in with the bottom quarter of the league - the likes of Denver, Cleveland, and Seattle. Even though the Patriots have the 4th worst pass defense in the league, I don't believe Sanchez poses any threat. The Patriots have been drastically underperforming and yet maintain the 2nd highest offensive efficiency in the league, adding about 8 points above expectation per contest. Give me the Patriots with points any day.
Oakland +7 at San Diego
I'm not quite as confident in this pick, but San Diego has been unable to win a game convincingly this year. Their biggest win was a Week 4, 10-point win over Miami. Yes, Carson Palmer scares me. Yes, the possibility of no Run DMC scares me. But, Oakland knows how to run the ball and San Diego has been soft against the run all year - ranking 26th in opponent-adjusted run defense. Add in Philip Rivers' propensity for turning the ball over this year and you've got the makings of a close game in San Diego.
The most accurate weekly projections from numberFire.com based on wall-street style analytics. numberFire outpredicted two of the most trafficked fantasy sites 70|PERCENT| of the time and are 54-55|PERCENT| against the spread over the last 3 seasons.