After completing my recent series on 2011 sleepers, fellow RotoWire blogger Kevin Payne respectfully called me out. On the final post of the series, The No Names, he commented that it is easy to compile a list of so many sleeper/buy-low prospects. He challenged me to develop a more focused list, a specific "target" list of sleepers.
So with this post I say "challenge accepted."
The following is a ranking of my personal targets for late-round, sleeper selections and a sentence or two explaining my thought process on each. Though I did not include all rookies in my sleepers series, I have done so here because many of them can be drafted at a discount even if they wind up as starters. I recommend you draft at least one of my targets; I guarantee I will get my hands on many of them.
1. Golden Tate, WR, Seattle Seahawks
- Admittedly this a biased pick as a former Domer myself, but realistically it's about taking a guy who will be there very late in most drafts but has the upside with his playmaking skills to be a number two fantasy receiver.
2. Rashad Jennings, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
- With Maurice Jones-Drew experiencing some wear and tear last year, Jennings looked very promising as an explosive, powerful runner with good hands. If MoJo actually breaks down early in the season, Jennings could be next year's Peyton Hillis.
3. Danario Alexander, WR, St. Louis Rams
- I've always loved receivers with size and it's led me to draft Andre Johnson, Calvin Johnson, Vincent Jackson and Dwayne Bowe all before their breakout seasons. And now it will lead me to draft the biggest target in a Josh McDaniels pass attack with a triggerman in Sam Bradford who will be a star quarterback very soon.
4. Jacoby Ford, WR, Oakland Raiders
- Both Tate and Ford go against my proclivity towards big receivers, but with players like DeSean Jackson and Steve Smith (CAR) tearing it up over the years I've begun to supplement my receiving corps with at least one smaller burner. Ford has the potential to be the most explosive offensive weapon in the league next year. Period.
5. Beanie Wells, RB, Arizona Cardinals
Wells may free fall this year in drafts because of the perceived drop in his value after a seriously disappointing season and the drafting of Ryan Williams. But his recent statement that this will "definitely be (his) year" coupled with the very real ability he showed down the stretch of his rookie season make me believe he can mount an impressive comeback despite the presence of Williams.
6. Mike Goodson, RB, Carolina Panthers
- Goodson may not go too late, as he carries value as one of the better third down backs in the league, but if he can be snagged cheaply he's a must buy. While it's unlikely Jonathan Stewart is missing much time (he's played in all but two games in three years), Goodson will still have plenty of value playing alongside him as a slashing, speedster compliment in the mold of a poor-man's DeAngelo Williams.
7. Leonard Hankerson, WR, Washington Redskins
- I always place an emphasis on snagging potential-laden rookies late and Hankerson will likely remain my top rookie target. I watched the highlights from his senior year at Miami and the whole time I felt like I was watching Hakeem Nicks at UNC.
8. C.J. Spiller, RB, Buffalo Bills
- Considering Spiller's impressive preseason didn't translate to the games that matter, he should drop considerably in drafts this year. The natural ability is there however, and when he's given more of chance to show it this season I believe he will prove it.
9. Tashard Choice, RB, Dallas Cowboys
- I simply won't give up on Choice until he vanishes from fantasy relevancy. I still believe him to be the best runner in a crowded backfield and a Felix Jones injury away from stardom.
10. Jon Baldwin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
- Back to the big wide receiver fetish again… Baldwin is a freakishly athletic man-child with sticky mitts and he should start from day one. And he continues to assuage my concerns over his character with every word I read about him.
11. Sam Bradford, QB, St. Louis Rams
- Bradford would be much higher on my list if I wasn't an Aaron Rodgers owner in a keeper league. He has all the tools and is in the right system to become a top-five fantasy quarterback sooner rather than later, and will be a tremendous upside pick for anyone with an uncertain starter at QB.
12. Steve Slaton, RB, Houston Texans
- I will reach a bit for Slaton if, and only if, he finds a new home that provides him the chance to compete for carries. He's too explosive to ignore if he can prove that the neck injury and fumble issues of 2009 are behind him.
13. Kendall Hunter, RB, San Francisco 49ers
- Frank Gore has not played a full 16 games since 2006 and was absent from five last year with injury. Hunter is a dynamic runner with big-play ability and could thrive when Gore misses time this year.
14. DeMarco Murray, RB, Dallas Cowboys
- Though I'm higher on Choice as the backup in Big D, I am not about to deny that Murray is another gifted, versatile runner in what is easily the league's deepest backfield. If Felix Jones goes down he could be in a 50/50 split with Choice and both could excel in the ground game with Murray handling more of the pass-catching duties.
15. Chaz Schilens, WR, Oakland Raiders
That's right, Schilens is the second Raider receiver on my target list. But he's another one I can't give up on since he brings tremendous size and speed to a team without a defined number one target, and he will almost certainly be available when you draft your last skill guy.
So there you have it. My late-round targets are out there for all the world to see. I hope that this list helps others to find a draft-day steal and that, most importantly, it goes completely unnoticed by my league-mates.