I only missed that Cubs game yesterday by about a dozen runs. Here's hoping no one saw the post. Grinding a bit now, but still ahead for the season, which I imagine puts me in the top 30|PERCENT| of people who try and do this. The problem is that I have no confidence that the results reflect a certain skill. This could still just be variance. It's important to keep from letting results dictate decisions, influence process, or matter much at all other than for scorekeeping.

I like a terrifying amount of the board today. What's below is trimmed down.

New York (NL) +161, one unit. The pitching matchup is basically even, and with the Yankees being chipped away at by injuries, their lineup is susceptible. I don't know if the Mets are even money or better, but I do know they're better than 3-2 against.

Toronto -140, one unit. Big Shawn Marcum fan, but more interesting is that the Blue Jays have held their own three weeks into a very tough month. They're better than the Giants, and today's pitching matchup shades their way as well.

Florida -120, two units. Josh Johnson has been every bit the pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez has this year. This is an extremely short line given the pitchers.

Houston +155, one unit. Felipe Paulino is good, and I'm on the record as being skeptical of C.J. Wilson's ability to keep pitching well as a starter over the course of the season.

Oakland -105, 1.5 units. Trevor Cahill.

Los Angeles (AL)/Chicago (NL) over 9, (-105), two units. Massive variance here, with Joe Saunders, Carlos Zambrano and the weather at Wrigley Field. You could really get just about any game, but the number seems low given all the factors.