Those of you posting comments, thanks for the encouragement. Obviously, I'm not off to the greatest of starts this season, and as much as I keep using at-bats as a metaphor for the number of picks I've made and will make before this is done, it is difficult to look back at the 2-6 start as "the good old days." As I wrote in the comments of yesterday's post, I figured the biggest advantage for an analyst would come at the start of the season, so a 2-12 open, down 12 units, is highly discouraging. Nonetheless, we soldier on; I can't belittle Ron Washington for shuffling bullpen roles a week into the season and then shut down my own project at the same time.

But one more day of this...

Kansas City +105. Up 5-0 in the seventh, the Royals bullpen got involved.

Arizona +153. Ian Kennedy got hammered.

Chicago (AL) -101. Ricky Romero took a no-hitter into the seventh inning.

Today:

Los Angeles (AL) +180, one unit. The marriage of Javier Vazquez, a flyball-throwing righty, and New Yankee Stadium, has all kinds of potential for disaster, and I say that as someone who thinks it was a good trade for the Yankees. The line exaggerates the gap between these two teams.

Milwaukee/Chicago (NL) over 10.5 (-110), one unit. This has moved down from 11, and features two mediocre-to-poor bullpens against two lineups whose primary feature is power. I don't see Randy Wells repeating 2009, or even 2010's first strong start.

Washington +168, one unit. Mostly a fade of the wholly unimpressive Kyle Kendrick, with an acknowledgment of the Phillies' injury issues mixed in there as well. Almost certainly no Jimmy Rollins tonight, and maybe no Jayson Werth.

New York (NL)/Colorado under 9.5 (+100), one unit. Aaron Cook against a bad offense and backed by a strong defense. Also, the Rockies should be significantly less productive against southpaws (Jon Niese goes for the Mets).