I'm finding Jake Peavy to be a pretty good target this year, as it seems everyone wants nothing to do with the injury-prone pitcher now out of Petco Park.  There's no doubting he's in a much tougher situation compared to San Diego, as he not only leaves the best pitcher's park in baseball for one that routinely plays as one of the most homer-friendly in MLB, but he also switched to the more difficult league (which is exacerbated when leaving the NL West). Still, last year's injury was to his ankle, and if nothing else, he enters 2010 with as fresh of an arm as ever, and Peavy proved he was feeling good with an 18:6 K:BB ratio over 20.0 innings with the White Sox in September. It's true his numbers have been aided by Petco Park, but Peavy has a career ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.18 with a 9.02 K/9. And almost every athlete performs better at home, regardless of sport. Since 2004, Peavy has struck out 25.6 percent of the batters he's faced (h/t Mark Simon from ESPN). Only Tim Lincecum has been better (27.6 percent). The Indians, Tigers and Royals all finished in the bottom half of the AL in runs scored last season. Take Peavy at a discount.

Watching the "30 for 30" on Reggie Miller, which was fantastic, kind of made me sad, as someone who's clearly far too young to be talking about "the good ole days," well, quite frankly, rivalries like that don't exist anymore in sports. Well, at least they don't between non-retired athletes (more on that later).

There will be safer picks than Carlos Gonzalez, because we are talking about a hitter who had shown very little as a major leaguer until going on a tear late last season; a tear that consisted of just a 194 AB sample. Of course, it's not so simple as to prorate that over a full season and take further growth as a given, and Gonzalez strikes out quite a bit, but there's also plenty to like here. Not only did he go nuts in August (.371/.432/.714), but it was especially encouraging to see him swipe seven bases during September, even when his bat came back to earth (.885 OPS), as he clearly got more comfortable at the major league level. CarGo is a top prospect who surprising held his own against lefties last year (albeit in a small number of at-bats). It's not ideal that the Rockies have four good outfielders, especially since Jim Tracy is their manager, but no other even approaches Gonzalez's talent. He's a plus defender slated to hit toward the top of the lineup, and the Coors Field factor cannot be understated. CarGo is just 24 years old and should approach 25/25 as soon as this season, and he carries less BA risk than fellow future superstar Jay Bruce. Go get him.

I really don't know what to make of the Andre Agassi/Pete Sampras incident. I mean, it's definitely funny, and one of the rare times we see athletes showing their true personalities. But it was also a little uncomfortable, no? Although the valet line killed me. We may have finally found someone who might be even cheaper than Tiger Woods, and that's saying something.

It's time to start treating Ervin Santana as a top-30 fantasy starter again. Yes, last year was an utter disaster, caused almost solely by him pitching hurt, but no surgery was ever required, and while his K rate remained below his 2008 levels, he showed signs of getting healthier over the final two months (3.09 ERA). The clear problem was his drop in fastball velocity, which fell from averaging 94.4 mph in 2008 down to 92.3 mph last year. His slider remained a highly effective pitch, but the heater was destroyed. So it's encouraging that he's been routinely reaching 94 mph this spring, when he's posted a 5:0 K:BB ratio over five perfect frames. Of course, it's just five innings, but Santana skipped winter ball in the Dominican Republic for the first time ever, so if he's back to feeling fully healthy after an offseason of rest, there's a huge opportunity to buy a pitcher who is one season removed from striking out 214 batters with a 3.49 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at a more than reasonable cost.

In 2004, Barry Bonds had 373 official ABs. He reached base 367 times. I also recommend the new "Gorillaz" album. That is all.

I believe Miguel Montero is for real and wouldn't fault anyone for ranking him as a top-five fantasy catcher. However, don't forget about Chris Snyder. It's possible Snyder is traded, which would be ideal, but he's back to health entering 2010 and has quite a bit of pop in his bat. Montero will be on the good side of a platoon, but he actually has hit southpaws better throughout his career. Montero had a .900 OPS after the break last season and hits in a terrific environment, but don't be shocked if Snyder takes away more at-bats from him compared to some other catchers with more secure full-time jobs who will go later in fantasy drafts.

Drew Magary's mailbag absolutely destroys Bill Simmons' these days. It's not even a contest.

I'm not exactly the first person to suggest Tommy Hanson is going to be good this year, but I'm still not sure he's being properly valued. Last year's solid but not great 4.12 xFIP is misleading, because most of his luck occurred during his first month pitching in the bigs, when he somehow went 4-0 with a 2.48 ERA despite an 18:17 K:BB ratio over 29.0 innings. Afterward, he posted a 98:29 K:BB ratio with a 1.11 WHIP over 98.2 innings. Hanson is probably one of the five best pitching prospects of the past decade,  and if he's not a top-10 fantasy starter entering 2010, he's just outside it. Right now, Javier Vazquez (crazy) and Chris Carpenter (way too big of an injury risk with far fewer strikeouts) both have a higher ADP, which isn't right.

Thankfully, I didn't buy the Manny Pacquiao fight last weekend. Joshua Clottey was clearly only interested in a paycheck, so after Floyd Mayweather disposes Shane Mosley, let's go ahead and finally try to save the sport and give us the best matchup since the 1990s. I'm not sure where the threshold would be for what I wouldn't pay to see that fight. I'd probably go to at least $250. Maybe more. Then again, I'd also fly to Vegas to be there in person, so I'm actually willing to go quite higher.

Steals are tough to gauge in fantasy leagues. On one hand, I don't like paying a premium price for guys like Carl Crawford or Jacoby Ellsbury when you can get Nyjer Morgan, Michael Bourn or Juan Pierre much later, and it does appear there is plenty of "cheap" speed available late this year. Still, you better be sure to get one of these guys, even if they are negative in a couple of categories. Maybe this is anecdotal, but it sure seems to me SB is a category that might be the most coveted in trade talks throughout the year. Maybe it's because it's easier to point to the 5-10 players who dominate that stat. Incidentally, I like Morgan more than Bourn in 2010. Bourn carries bigger BA volatility – his BABIP was .291 in 2008 and .367 last season. His career mark (.334) is strong, but his career contact rate (.77) is lower than Morgan's (.83), so he relies more on the unknown. Of course, Morgan isn't going to maintain the .400 BABIP he posted after coming to Washington last year, but his career mark is .361, and the Nats traded Lastings Milledge for him, not to mention his defense in center is second only to Franklin Gutierrez, so he should have good job security. Morgan swiped 42 bags over just 469 at-bats last season, so 50-60 are reachable.

So I got the fourth pick in the Yahoo! Friends & Family draft, which takes place Tuesday. Since I've constantly said I want a top-three pick or one toward the bottom, it's only fitting. Any suggestions, assuming the obvious three are gone?

What do we make of Francisco Liriano? He actually profiles quite similarly to Ervin Santana – as a loss in fastball velocity has derailed a once promising career, while his slider remains plenty effective. Of course, it's a bit different, since Liriano was once the best pitcher in baseball (for a brief period), and he actually underwent TJ surgery. The year before he had the procedure, Liriano averaged 94.7 mph with his heater, but he's been at 90.9 and 91.7 each of the past two years. His fastball was a barely above average pitch when he was in the 94 mph range, but the drop in velocity has turned his slider into merely a very good pitch instead of the third most effective pitch in all of baseball, which it was in 2006. And no pitcher's fastball was less effective in all of MLB last season than Liriano's. But he's now even further removed from the surgery, and obviously, the main reason I even bring him up is what he's shown during the offseason. He dominated the Dominican winter league, working regularly in the 95 mph range (if reports are to be believed) and now has a 12:1 K:BB ratio over 7.0 innings in spring training. Liriano will have to pitch in a park with far less foul territory and an outfield defense that could be the worst in baseball in 2010 (and if the Twins even consider moving him into the closer's role they are crazy), but I like to swing for the fences in fantasy leagues – and there won't be a player available later than Liriano who has a better chance of winning your league for you.