Tough break for Rickie Weeks owners. The frustrating second baseman was finally living up to his potential, hammering three homers over the last six games while posting a career-high .857 OPS. He was also on pace to finish with 123 runs scored and 105 RBI. While his BA was sure to drop, his steals were likely to increase, as he's been successful on 83 percent of his attempts during his career. Even when he's really good, Weeks manages to disappoint yet again.
During ESPN's Sunday night telecast, Steve Phillips talked about the Mets needing to move on and trade Carlos Beltran, with part of his reasoning being that Beltran didn't slide at home earlier this season, costing his team an out with a base running mistake. Phillips also contended Beltran wasn't a good team leader and called Jose Reyes the much better player. I know picking on Phillips is a little like beating up someone handicapped, but when Joe Morgan makes more sense, you know there's a big problem. I'll try to keep this brief, but Beltran currently has a 1.068 OPS with more walks than strikeouts. He's on pace to finish with 26 homers, 118 runs scored and 123 RBI. He's done this while playing half his games in a stadium that has played as an extreme pitcher's park, and his defensive position is center field, which makes those numbers all the more impressive. Speaking of defense, while his early numbers are down in 2009, his 8.8 UZR/150 rating ranked second only to Mike Cameron among NL center fielders last season. Moreover, his 88.1 percent SB success rate is the best among all players with at least 120 attempts. He's also a switch hitter essentially equally effective from both sides of the box. Beltran is simply one of baseball's best players.
Adrian Gonzalez is on pace to finish with 64 home runs…and 13 doubles. A whopping 38.8 percent of his flyballs have gone over the fence, which is a full 10 percent higher than the second highest mark (Adam Dunn, 27.4 percent). While it's safe to say Gonzalez has been lucky, leading the majors in homers while playing half his games in Petco Park is no small accomplishment. In fact, if he were traded to even a neutral home park, Gonzalez would be worth a late first round fantasy pick. Here is how Petco Park has ranked according to ESPN's Park Factors when it comes to home runs from 2004-2008: 30th, 30th, 16th, 29th, and 30th – that's dead last for three of the past five years and second to last in another. If Gonzalez somehow reaches 50 homers this season, it would be akin to a Sammy Sosa 65-homer type campaign.
How much does Aaron Brooks look like Chris Rock?! It's uncanny. Sticking with hoops, I got the Lakers 4-3 and the Cavs 4-1.
Matt Cain has a 2.65 ERA and thanks to some unusual run support, a nice 4-1 record. Unfortunately, he continues to regress as a pitcher, as his ugly 34:25 K:BB ratio over 51 innings attests. His 4.41 BB/9 IP mark is nothing short of terrible. While in past seasons abnormally low HR/F rates have help Cain look better than he is, that number has finally normalized so far in 2009, but a ridiculous .111 BAA with RISP makes him a serious sell "high" candidate. Oh, and during those 13.1 innings with RISP, he's posted a 6:6 K:BB ratio, making it all that more unlikely. Cain has never been easy to hit, but when you consider the Giants rank 22nd in defensive efficiency, a major correction is forthcoming. From 2006-2009, his fastball velocity has steadily decreased with each season, currently bottoming out at 91.5 mph, and it's not like his secondary pitches are all that great either. As a Giants fan, I hope I'm wrong, and Cain is younger than Tim Lincecum, so he clearly can't be written off, but it's safe to say Cain's development has been a huge disappointment. He once looked like a future ace. Now, he's a solid No. 3.
Over the last two seasons, Joe Mauer averaged a home run once per 58.9 at-bats. This year, he's gone yard once every 9.3 ABs. He should have gotten sick long ago. In all seriousness, if the power development is for real, Mauer could easily be a top-10 fantasy player.
James Harrison: "This is how I feel — if you want to see the Pittsburgh Steelers, invite us when we don't win the Super Bowl. As far as I'm concerned, [Obama] would've invited Arizona if they had won." Ladies and gentlemen, it's early, but this has to be the quote of the year.
This is old news by now, but with recent articles devoting a bunch of attention to whether Alex Rodriguez was tipping pitches to opponents, it really needs to be made clear what he was guilty of. First, ARod WAS tipping pitchers, without a doubt. However, he was doing this in an effort to help his pitcher, but he often relayed his information to the catcher far too early and wasn't as discreet as commonly practiced. Orel Hershiser, who was the Rangers' pitching coach at the time, has said multiple people confided to him the year after ARod left that Texas' staff was much tougher to hit once they didn't know what's coming, and the Rangers' team ERA dropped nearly a full run with mostly the same rotation. ARod wasn't trying to cheat, but ultimately like the rest of his life away from the diamond, he was guilty of being naïve, and well, dumb.