NBA DFS Picks: FanDuel Lineup Plays and Strategy for Saturday, January 21

NBA DFS Picks: FanDuel Lineup Plays and Strategy for Saturday, January 21

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

We're primed for a six-game slate Saturday night, one that's highlighted by Bucks-Cavaliers and 76ers-Kings clashes. The injury report does have some notable names on it, however, so it will be an important night to monitor news on Rotowire before each game tips off.

Slate Overview

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The points spreads are more elevated than usual Saturday, with the fact five teams are on the second night of a back-to-back set playing a part. There are four games with six-point lines or higher, while there are also four contests with projected totals of over 230 points.

Injury Situations to Monitor  

For all the latest updates, visit RotoWire's NBA Injury News page and our comprehensive NBA Injury Report.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL (knee): QUESTIONABLE (Update: Now confirmed out)

If Antetokounmpo isn't able to return from his four-game absence, then Jrue Holiday should see sky-high usage once again, while Bobby Portis would likely remain in the starting five.

James Harden, PHI (foot injury management): QUESTIONABLE

If Harden sits out, De'Anthony Melton is likely to draw a start at two-guard, while Joel Embiid's usage would be projected to be even higher than usual.

LaMelo Ball, CHA (ankle): DOUBTFUL

In Ball's likely absence, Dennis Smith should move into the starting five at point guard, while Terry Rozier will likely see a bump in usage.

Donovan Mitchell, CLE (groin): GTD (Update: Now confirmed out)

If Mitchell sits out a third straight game, Caris LeVert could remain in the starting five while Darius Garland's usage should continue to be especially elevated.

Rudy Gobert, MIN (groin): QUESTIONABLE

If Gobert can't suit up, expected Naz Reid to draw another start at center.

Anthony Edwards, MIN (hip): QUESTIONABLE

If Edwards is unable to play Saturday, Jaylen Nowell would likely draw a spot start at shooting guard while D'Angelo Russell would be in for a bump in usage.

Other notable injuries:

Tyrese Haliburton, IND (knee/elbow): OUT

Devin Booker, PHO (groin): OUT

Karl-Anthony Towns, MIN (calf): OUT

Khris Middleton, MIL (knee): OUT

Kelly Oubre, CHA (hand): OUT

Kevin Porter, HOU (foot): DOUBTFUL

Chris Paul, PHO (hip): QUESTIONABLE       

Elite Players

We have four players with five-figure salaries that have a chance to play on Saturday's slate – Joel Embiid ($11,600), Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,400), James Harden ($10,500) and Domantas Sabonis ($10,300).

Embiid has scored over 55 FD points in three straight and owns a 39.3 percent usage rate and averages 59.2 FD points per 36 minutes without James Harden, who's questionable, on the floor.

Antetokounmpo's status will have to be closely monitored leading up to tip-off, but if he's announced as available, he'll face a Cavs team he scored 71.8 FD points against across 40 minutes Dec. 21.

If Harden suits up, he'll face a Kings team that he scored 60.9 FD points against across 36 minutes on Dec. 13.

Sabonis came back from a one-game absence Friday night to score 48.6 FD points against the Thunder, and he scored 40.5 FD points across 29 minutes against the same 76ers team he'll face Saturday back on Dec. 13.  

Expected Chalk

Other likely chalk plays include:

Trae Young, ATL ($9,600)

Young saw a streak of six 40-plus FD-point efforts come to an end Friday, but his favorable matchup against a short-handed Hornets backcourt should help keep him popular Saturday.

Kristaps Porzingis, WAS ($8,900)

Porzingis has scored 50.5 and 45.7 FD points in his last two games and has a highly favorable matchup versus the vulnerable Magic frontcourt.

Jrue Holiday, MIL ($8,600)

Holiday has scored over 60 FD points in each of his last two games without Antetokounmpo on the floor, and he's now averaging 48.3 FD points per 36 minutes without his teammate on the floor.

Darius Garland, CLE ($8,500)

Garland boasts a 29.7 percent usage rate and an average of 42.9 FD points per 36 minutes without Mitchell on the floor, and he's scored 48.9 to 55 FD points in his last three games.

Alperen Sengun, HOU ($7,800)

Sengun has scored 70 and 53.4 FD points in his last two games, and he could face a Timberwolves frontcourt missing Rudy Gobert in Saturday's contest.

Key Values 

John Collins, ATL vs. CHA ($6,000)

Collins has scored 34.5 and 33.3 FD points in his last two games, and he's averaging 31.8 FD points per contest in the last 13 overall while shooting 52.5 percent. The big man certainly does have some inconsistency to his game, but he put up 37.5 FD points against the Hornets back on Oct. 23. Charlotte is also very vulnerable in the frontcourt, allowing the third-highest offensive efficiency rating to power forwards (29.0). The Hornets are also conceding the third-most FD points per game to fours (47.2), including the most over the last 15 contests (53.0), and the fifth-most rebounds per game (54.4).

Monte Morris, WAS vs. ORL ($5,800)

Morris checks into Saturday's favorable matchup running hot, as he's scored 41.8 and 31.9 FD points in the last two games while shooting a blistering 60.0 percent from distance. He's eclipsed 30 FD points on three other occasions over the last 11 contests, a span during which he's draining an impressive 50.5 percent overall. The Magic already gave up 31.6 FD points over 28 minutes to Morris back on Dec. 30, and Orlando is also surrendering the 11th-highest offensive efficiency rating to point guards (27.2), along with 50 FD points per contest to ones in the last 15 games.

Joe Ingles, MIL at CLE ($4,100)

Ingles scored 37.2 FD points across 31 minutes against the Raptors on Tuesday, a game he played without Antetokounmpo available. The big man could be out again Saturday, but even if he's available, Ingles could prove a very viable value play in his bench role. The veteran sharpshooter has scored over 20 FD points in four of his first 13 games, and Cleveland has surrendered 36.0 percent three-point shooting to two-guards thus far this season.

ALSO CONSIDER: Damion Lee, PHO vs. IND ($5,200); Saben Lee, PHO vs. IND ($4,500); Mark Williams, CHA at ATL ($4,400)

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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