Free NBA Picks Today: Best Bets for Tuesday, May 7

Free NBA Picks Today: Best Bets for Tuesday, May 7

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Best Bets

Jaylen Brown over 23.5 points (-125) vs. Cavaliers

DraftKings, 3:50 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Kristaps Porzingis remains out and is not expected to return in this series. Boston has leaned on Jaylen Brown more in Porzingis' absence. With five first-round games against Miami as a sample, Brown sees a 13.7% usage increase with the big man off the floor, resulting in 30.0 points per 36 minutes.

Celtics -4.0 first-quarter spread vs. Cavaliers (-108)

DraftKings Sportsbook, 1pm CT

Nick Whalen: The full-game line is up to Boston -12.5 at DraftKings, which I'm OK with taking, but I prefer to lean on the Celtics continuing to get off to hot starts, which they did for most of their Round 1 series against Miami. In that series, the Celtics posted a +32.4 NET rating in the first quarter while holding the Heat to a 90.8 offensive rating. Boston finished the series at plus-41 on the first-quarter scoring margin, winning the first period by an average of just over 8.0 points per game. Meanwhile, the Cavs were only +5.1 in the first quarter against Orlando and were plagued by notably slow starts in three of the final four games of the series. Playing at home with a significant talent advantage, give me Boston to jump out to a sizable lead early on.

I'm taking the OVER on Jayson Tatum grabbing 8.5 rebounds

(FanDuel, -130, 4:10 EST)

Ken Crites: With Kristaps Porzingis out, the other Celtics all need to work harder on the boards.  Tatum has done just that during the post-season and averaged 10.4 boards versus Miami in Round 1.  I think that trend continues tonight, especially with Jared Allen not likely to play (officially "Questionable" as of 4pm ET).  Despite their interior size, Cleveland is not a strong rebounding team.  They ranked 20th in team rebounds per game over the regular season.  I smell a double-double for Boston's MVP candidate.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. Championships incude: 2016 RW Staff NBA Keeper, 2019 RW Staff NFL Ottoneu Keeper, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Experts, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Kamla Keeper and 2023-24 FSGA NBA Expert Champions. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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