Vladimir Guerrero
25-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.323
HR
30
RBI
103
R
98
SB
2
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that product was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. 2024 saw him finish as the top first baseman, the 7th-best hitter, and 8th overall in fantasy rankings for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025. Read Past Outlooks
Team open to move to third base
The Blue Jays are open to moving Guerrero to third base next season if they're able to acquire a first baseman this offseason, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Heyman lists Pete Alonso as the bat the Blue Jays could bring in to force a position switch for Guerrero. Vlad Jr. made 11 starts at the hot corner this season and was an everyday third baseman during his rookie year back in 2019. How eager Toronto might be to move the slugger across the diamond on a full-time basis isn't clear, but it might be considered for the opportunity to add the right bat.
Heyman lists Pete Alonso as the bat the Blue Jays could bring in to force a position switch for Guerrero. Vlad Jr. made 11 starts at the hot corner this season and was an everyday third baseman during his rookie year back in 2019. How eager Toronto might be to move the slugger across the diamond on a full-time basis isn't clear, but it might be considered for the opportunity to add the right bat.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
95
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
8
27
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+2%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .816 | 385 | 12 | 48 | .280 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .856 | 1700 | 76 | 246 | .289 | ||||
2024vs Left | .956 | 139 | 6 | 27 | .308 | ||||
2024vs Right | .936 | 558 | 24 | 76 | .327 | ||||
2023vs Left | .766 | 124 | 2 | 9 | .284 | ||||
2023vs Right | .792 | 558 | 24 | 85 | .260 | ||||
2022vs Left | .711 | 122 | 4 | 12 | .245 | ||||
2022vs Right | .841 | 584 | 28 | 85 | .280 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+1%
OPS on Road
2024
+6%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .843 | 1019 | 44 | 155 | .282 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .855 | 1066 | 44 | 139 | .292 | ||||
2024Home | .970 | 338 | 15 | 54 | .334 | ||||
2024Away | .912 | 359 | 15 | 49 | .313 | ||||
2023Home | .716 | 336 | 10 | 46 | .238 | ||||
2023Away | .858 | 346 | 16 | 48 | .289 | ||||
2022Home | .842 | 345 | 19 | 55 | .273 | ||||
2022Away | .795 | 361 | 13 | 42 | .276 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Vladimir Guerrero compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.75BB Rate
10.3%K Rate
13.8%BABIP
.342ISO
.221AVG
.323OBP
.396SLG
.544OPS
.940wOBA
.403Exit Velocity
93.8 mphHard Hit Rate
41.6%Barrels/PA
10.3%Expected BA
.321Expected SLG
.567Sprint Speed
21.7 ft/secGround Ball %
48.1%Line Drive %
18.5%Fly Ball %
33.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Vladimir Guerrero See More
Shohei Ohtani takes the top spot in the first edition of the 2025 RotoWire roundtable rankings, but his lead is a very slim one.
Erik Halterman kicks off an early offseason review and preview by breaking down each position by tier, starting with first base, where Vladimir Guerrero shined in an otherwise underwhelming group.
James Anderson ranks the top 300 players for 2025 fantasy baseball leagues, in which Brewers' phenom Jackson Chourio is pushing towards the first round!
Sunday's DraftKings MLB schedule promises a final opportunity to stack some Dodgers at Coors Field this season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
In the spring of 2022, Guerrero Jr. famously stated that 2021 was a trailer and now fans will see a movie. Like most sequels, the team and the player has failed to deliver on promises. Guerrero's 2021 nomadic season in friendly run environments helped him established career hights he has failed to come close to in each of the past two seasons. Management tweaked Rogers Centre before the 2023 season, but that did not prevent Guerrero's overall numbers from sliding for a second consecutive season as he and the rest of the club struggled to produce runs despite plenty of traffic on the bases throughout the season. If you treat 2021 as an outlier rather than a ceiling, 2024 Guerrero Jr. should not disappoint you given his skills provide a very high floor. Just remember that sequels are rarely better than the original and Vlady's 2021 season is a cult classic that should be appreciated rather than expected.
More Fantasy News
Another three-hit effort Sunday
Guerrero went 3-for-5 with an RBI in Sunday's loss to the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches 30-homer plateau
Guerrero went 3-for-4 with two solo home runs, an additional run scored and a walk Thursday against the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Rips three hits in loss
Guerrero went 3-for-5 with a double, one RBI and two runs scored in Tuesday's 13-8 loss to the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Youngest Jay to 500 RBI
Guerrero went 1-for-3 with a walk, two runs scored and an RBI in Saturday's 7-2 win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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In Tuesday's lineup
Guerrero (toe) will start at first base and bat third in Tuesday's game against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks in January likely
The Blue Jays are likely to engage in contract extension talks with Guerrero when arbitration figures are exchanged in mid-January, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet reports.
ANALYSIS
General manager Ross Atkins said at the winter meetings that the team was hopeful of locking up Vlad Jr. on a long-term deal, and Nicholson-Smith hears that Guerrero is also open to the idea. Guerrero is projected to make around $30 million in 2025 in his final year of arbitration eligibility. He will turn just 26 in March, so it's going to take a massive contract extension offer from the Blue Jays to convince Guerrero to forego free agency.
General manager Ross Atkins said at the winter meetings that the team was hopeful of locking up Vlad Jr. on a long-term deal, and Nicholson-Smith hears that Guerrero is also open to the idea. Guerrero is projected to make around $30 million in 2025 in his final year of arbitration eligibility. He will turn just 26 in March, so it's going to take a massive contract extension offer from the Blue Jays to convince Guerrero to forego free agency.