Griffin Canning

28-Year-Old PitcherSP

Free Agent

2024 Stats

W-L

6-13

ERA

5.19

WHIP

1.40

130

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2025 Fantasy Outlook

Canning's major-league career has been plagued by injuries and inconsistent performance. He pitched through some elbow irritation last season en route to a career-high 171.2 innings, but it came with a 5.19 ERA, third worst among qualified starters. Atlanta acquired him from the Angels in late October only to non-tender him weeks later. His strikeout rate dipped to just 17.6 percent last season, by far a career low, and Canning served up 31 home runs. The right-hander is still just 28 and might be a worthwhile reclamation project, though he remains unsigned as of mid-December. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man No

Height 6'1"

Weight 170

DOB 5/11/1996

Drafted 2nd Rd 2017

Non-tendered by Atlanta

PFree Agent

November 22, 2024

Atlanta non-tendered Canning on Friday.

ANALYSIS
Canning went 6-13 across a career-high 31 starts with the Angels in 2024 and struggled to a 5.19 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 130:66 K:BB over 171.2 innings. He was traded to Atlanta for Jorge Soler on Oct. 31, but he will not make it to spring training with the NL East squad. Canning will draw interest from teams in need of starting pitching or a right-hander who can deliver multi-inning relief out of the bullpen.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Griffin Canning generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Griffin Canning generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-5%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-5%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-20%

BAA vs LHP

2022

No Stats

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.250	645	127	62	143	26	4	22
Since 2022vs Right	.264	630	142	40	152	21	2	31
2024vs Left	.272	386	66	42	92	18	2	16
2024vs Right	.258	353	64	24	82	10	1	15
2023vs Left	.217	259	61	20	51	8	2	6
2023vs Right	.271	277	78	16	70	11	1	16
2022vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-12%

ERA at Home

2024

-27%

ERA at Home

2023

-13%

ERA on Road

2022

No Stats

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	4.53	1.36	151.0	10	8	0	8.4	3.6	1.3
Since 2022Away	5.12	1.29	147.2	3	13	0	7.8	2.6	1.9
2024Home	4.45	1.42	93.0	6	3	0	7.2	4.0	1.3
2024Away	6.06	1.37	78.2	0	10	0	6.4	2.9	2.1
2023Home	4.66	1.28	58.0	4	5	0	10.4	2.9	1.4
2023Away	4.04	1.20	69.0	3	3	0	9.4	2.2	1.7
2022Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Griffin Canning compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

1.97

K/9

6.8

BB/9

3.5

HR/9

1.6

Fastball

93.5 mph

ERA

5.19

WHIP

1.40

BABIP

.288

GB/FB

1.11

Left On Base

68.7%

Exit Velocity

83.6 mph

Barrels/BBE

5.1%

Spin Rate

2159 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

26.3%

Swinging Strike

10.9%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2021

2020

2019

After missing 2022 with a lower-back stress fracture, Canning's season got off to an inauspicious start as began the campaign on the IL with a groin injury. Fortunately, he required only the minimum 15-day visit and went on to toss a career high 127 innings, starting 22 of 24 outings. He did revisit the IL in late July for a calf injury, but only missed three weeks, though it served to keep his inning in check. Considering Canning hadn't thrown a competitive pitch since 2021, his 4.32 ERA was impressive, but a 3.82 xFIP and 3.80 SIERA indicate he pitched even better. His 19.2 percent K-BB percent ranked 22nd among hurlers throwing at least 120 innings. His pitch mix was similar to before he was hurt, but his four-seamer ticked up 1-mph. Even so, Canning's swinging strike rate dropped from 2021, but his called strike rate improved. There's strikeout upside if he can induce more swinging strikes without losing any called strikes. Canning has always yielded homers at a high rate, so he's best used as a streamer, but he can be a sneaky asset if others are scared off by a seemingly high ERA.

Canning was expected to compete for the sixth spot in the Angels' rotation last season, but setbacks from a lower-back stress fracture that first popped up during the previous campaign ruined his spring and eventually wiped out his entire season. The right-hander didn't exactly shine during the previous campaign, posting a 5.60 ERA (5.48 FIP) and 1.48 WHIP over 62.2 innings. Canning has averaged over a strikeout an inning so far as a big-leaguer, but he's had trouble locating his fastball and has posted a 1.6 HR/9 over 209.1 career frames. He'll be about 20 months removed from his last game action when spring training rolls around, so it may take some time for him to work his arm back into shape. He'll be among a group of pitchers vying for a spot at the back of the Angels' rotation, but it may take a strong spring for him to make the Opening Day roster.

Canning was one of the players who benefitted from the shortened season. March drafters did not know what to do with him after he came down with a balky elbow early in camp and received PRP injections. He was a wild card for drafts because many assumed he would go the way of Garrett Richards, Shohei Ohtani and Andrew Heaney before him and eventually have season-ending Tommy John surgery. Canning, in fact, made a full 11 starts in 2020, albeit with lesser results than his impressive 2019 debut. He lost one mph off his fastball, and the league had an easier time with the pitch as it hit .305 off it (.235 xBA). He also cut back his slider usage in favor of more curves, which is understandable given the barking elbow. If he can regain that zip on his fastball with a normal offseason of recovery, things could get interesting in 2021. Health is a risk, but taking on that risk could come with a nice reward.

After three lights-out starts at Triple-A, Canning, the Angels' top pitching prospect, was summoned to the majors in April to bolster a banged-up rotation. He offered immediate aid, posting a 3.06 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 34:9 K:BB across his first six starts. Canning actually did a better job of keeping the ball in the yard thereafter (1.2 HR/9), but a correction in his BABIP and strand rate plus a slight uptick in walks saddled him with a 5.43 ERA over his final 12 turns before he was shelved with elbow inflammation. All in all, it was a promising debut season for Canning, who established himself as a mainstay in the rotation moving forward. Canning's lack of a dominant offering in his four-pitch arsenal probably hinder his chances of emerging as a bona fide ace down the road, but at just 23 years old, there's certainly time for him to improve his skills and change that narrative.

Canning was one of the great in-season helium prospects early on in 2018, but some of that air was let out of the balloon after he advanced to Triple-A. After Canning posted a minuscule 1.97 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for Double-A Mobile, he struggled to a 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with Salt Lake (13 starts). Part of it was just the change in park factors going from the Southern League to the Pacific Coast League -- his HR/FB more than doubled with the jump in levels. However, Canning also lost something from his K-rate (from 27.2% to 24.5%) and the explosion in his opponents' BABIP (from .229 to .376) wasn't all luck and park related as his line-drive rate jumped from 18.3% all the way to 26%. Canning doesn't have any one standout offering, but he has a decent four-pitch mix (fastball, slider, curveball change) and fringe-average command. The Angels will need arms this season, and Canning appears a likely candidate to start at some point.

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Sent to Atlanta

PAtlanta Braves

October 31, 2024

The Angels traded Canning to Atlanta on Thursday in exchange for Jorge Soler.