Ezequiel Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar

23-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Colorado Rockies
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Tovar laughed in the face of the sophomore slump theory and had a very productive 2024 season, albeit with some flaws. Tovar once again played nearly everyday, but set new career highs in all run producing categories while also elevating his batting average. He was not as much of a help in OBP leagues as his .295 OBP was a direct result of an anemic 3.3% walk rate. It is one thing when Judge or Schwarber strike out 200 times because they're hitting 45+ homers while also walking 125+ times in a season. Tovar hit 26 homers while striking out 200 times an walked 23 times all season. We have seen 21 instances of a player strike out at least 200 times in a season and Tovar has the lowest walk total in that group. Tovar's home/road splits were surprisingly close to neutral, especially for a Colorado hitter as his homers were evenly split while the batting aveage was a difference of 16 points. Tovar will be there to volume his way through production again for Colorado but managers and fans should expect a step or even two steps back rather than a step forward. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a seven-year, $61 million contract extension with the Rockies in March of 2024. Contract includes $23 million team option ($2.5 million buyout) for 2031.
Stays hot with three hits
SSColorado Rockies
September 29, 2024
Tovar went 3-for-4 with a solo homer in Saturday's loss to the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
Tovar singled in his first trip to the plate before launching a 429-foot solo homer in the bottom of the third inning. The shortstop went on to reach base three times in the contest, tallying at least three hits for the 16th time this season. Tovar has also posted multiple knocks and at least one RBI in each of his last three games, while the long ball was his 26th on the campaign.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
19
81
6
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
24
17
2
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+216%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .746 396 41 15 41 7 .256 .293 .453
Since 2022vs Right .720 948 123 27 112 10 .262 .289 .431
2024vs Left .759 208 22 8 22 2 .259 .303 .456
2024vs Right .765 486 61 18 56 4 .273 .291 .474
2023vs Left .708 177 17 6 18 5 .246 .277 .431
2023vs Right .690 438 62 9 55 6 .256 .291 .399
2022vs Left 1.091 11 2 1 1 0 .364 .364 .727
2022vs Right .345 24 0 0 1 0 .136 .208 .136
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .763 673 92 20 85 5 .277 .312 .451
Since 2022Away .693 671 72 22 68 12 .243 .269 .424
2024Home .773 345 44 13 42 2 .277 .305 .468
2024Away .754 349 39 13 36 4 .261 .284 .470
2023Home .753 316 47 7 43 3 .276 .315 .438
2023Away .634 299 32 8 30 8 .229 .258 .377
2022Home .717 12 1 0 0 0 .300 .417 .300
2022Away .522 23 1 1 2 0 .174 .174 .348
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Stat Review
How does Ezequiel Tovar compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.12
 
BB Rate
3.3%
 
K Rate
28.8%
 
BABIP
.344
 
ISO
.200
 
AVG
.269
 
OBP
.295
 
SLG
.469
 
OPS
.763
 
wOBA
.329
 
Exit Velocity
88.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.8%
 
Barrels/PA
6.1%
 
Expected BA
.233
 
Expected SLG
.401
 
Sprint Speed
24.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
32.8%
 
Line Drive %
21.3%
 
Fly Ball %
45.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
There are players who are better real baseball players than fantasy ones while there are others who are more meaningful in fantasy than real baseball. Tovar falls into the latter as he finished the season as the 15th best shortstop with 15 homers, 70+ runs and RBIs and 11 steals. His .253 batting average was slightly above the league average, but his 70 wRC+ shows what his real baseball offensive value was. Tovar did what most Rockies do: rake at home (.276) and struggle on the road (.229) but did nearly evenly split his homers. His handedness splits were nearly dead even in his rookie season, but it doesn't matter as his excellent defense keeps him in the lineup every day. Truth be told, this was an excellent rookie season for a 21 year old with just 23 plate appearances above Double-A before making his big league debut. He must improve his suspect plate discipline to keep the sophomore slump concerns at bay.
Tovar has only played nine games in the majors and five games at Triple-A, but the Rockies have been invested in him as their shortstop of the future since they bought him a house in 2020 when he couldn't return home to Venezuela during the pandemic. He had impressed at times in the minors prior to last season, most notably logging a 119 wRC+ as a 19-year-old at Single-A in 2021, but 2022 was certainly his breakout campaign. Tovar hit .318/.386/.545 with 13 home runs, 17 steals on 20 attempts and a 64:25 K:BB in 66 games as one of the youngest players at Double-A. Hip and groin injuries sidelined Tovar from late-June until mid-September, when he returned and went directly to Triple-A for a week before spending the final two weeks of the year with the big club. An over-aggressive approach has been the one offensive knock on Tovar, but so far he has mostly made it work. There's a chance he goes through a significant adjustment period against MLB pitching as a 21-year-old, but it seems pretty clear the Rockies will give him every opportunity in spring training to break camp as the starting shortstop. Tovar isn't a burner (57th percentile sprint speed) and doesn't hit the ball very hard (22.5 Hard% in the minors, 106 mph max EV in the majors), but he has been productive in games while being extremely young for most of his minor-league levels.
The Rockies have pushed Tovar aggressively at every turn, culminating with his big-league debut in September. He is the team's shortstop of the present and future after a breakout campaign in which he hit .316/.387/.540 with 14 home runs and 17 steals in 71 games between Double-A and Triple-A. Tovar turned 21 in August, so while there may be growing pains initially in the majors, he could still be improving as a hitter.
More Fantasy News
Tallies two RBI
SSColorado Rockies
September 27, 2024
Tovar went 2-for-5 with a double, two RBI and a run scored Thursday against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Wraps up productive homestand
SSColorado Rockies
September 19, 2024
Tovar went 1-for-4 with two RBI on Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Achieves 25-homer season
SSColorado Rockies
September 17, 2024
Tovar went 3-for-5 with a solo home run, an additional RBI and an additional run scored in Tuesday's 8-2 win over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in win
SSColorado Rockies
September 16, 2024
Tovar went 1-for-4 with a solo home run and two strikeouts in Monday's 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs homer, swipes bag in win
SSColorado Rockies
September 6, 2024
Tovar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and a stolen base in Thursday's win over Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Big-league debut on tap
SSColorado Rockies
September 23, 2022
Tovar is set to make his big-league debut Friday, per Kyle Newman of The Denver Post.
ANALYSIS
A top shortstop prospect for the Rockies, Tovar has slashed .319/.387/.540 with 14 home runs and 17 stolen bases across his 2022 minor-league campaigns. The 21-year-old is a name to monitor in Colorado.
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