Out
Injury Back
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Stats
AVG
.188
HR
5
RBI
15
R
23
SB
2
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Carter's arrow was pointing firmly up at this time last year. He flourished during a late-season promotion to the Rangers and kept that up during the playoffs as the Rangers rolled to a World Series title. Unfortunately, the 2024 campaign wound up being a lost one for the youngster. Carter had dealt with back problems off and on since entering pro ball and last year didn't play in a game after late May because of a lower-back stress reaction. He eventually underwent an ablation procedure, which he and the Rangers hope allow him to finally put the nagging issues behind him. Carter's numbers when on the field in 2024 were dreadful, but it's tempting to completely throw them out the window since he was never healthy. The left-handed batter hasn't hit southpaws in the majors or minors, so a strong-side platoon could await him in 2025. However, that and the injury concerns figure to make the draft-day cost minimal, and the skills that made Carter a top prospect remain. Read Past Outlooks
Cleared to swing bat
Carter (back) has been swinging a bat and is expected to be 100 percent for the start of spring training, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
Carter was limited to just 45 games this season due to a nagging back problem and underwent an ablation procedure in October to remove tissue from his back. The expectation is that he'll be without restrictions once spring training rolls around. The 22-year-old posted just a .633 OPS over 162 plate appearances in 2024 but should enter 2025 with a regular role for the Rangers.
Carter was limited to just 45 games this season due to a nagging back problem and underwent an ablation procedure in October to remove tissue from his back. The expectation is that he'll be without restrictions once spring training rolls around. The 22-year-old posted just a .633 OPS over 162 plate appearances in 2024 but should enter 2025 with a regular role for the Rangers.
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
13
1
11
1
1
1
2
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+280%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+151%
OPS vs RHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .231 | 40 | 0 | 2 | .081 | ||||
| Since 2022vs Right | .877 | 197 | 10 | 25 | .254 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .284 | 29 | 0 | 2 | .111 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .712 | 133 | 5 | 13 | .205 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .091 | 11 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | 1.238 | 64 | 5 | 12 | .365 | ||||
| 2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+39%
OPS at Home
2024
+47%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | .908 | 104 | 6 | 16 | .247 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | .652 | 133 | 4 | 11 | .205 | ||||
| 2024Home | .766 | 75 | 3 | 8 | .215 | ||||
| 2024Away | .521 | 87 | 2 | 7 | .165 | ||||
| 2023Home | 1.289 | 29 | 3 | 8 | .333 | ||||
| 2023Away | .913 | 46 | 2 | 4 | .289 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Evan Carter compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.35BB Rate
9.3%K Rate
26.5%BABIP
.227ISO
.174AVG
.188OBP
.272SLG
.361OPS
.633wOBA
.282Exit Velocity
86.0 mphHard Hit Rate
31.4%Barrels/PA
3.7%Expected BA
.208Expected SLG
.332Sprint Speed
25.1 ft/secGround Ball %
41.2%Line Drive %
14.7%Fly Ball %
44.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Evan Carter See More
Get caught up on the top signings and trades of the winter meetings, including the fantasy fallout from Max Fried's mega deal with the Yankees, and Boston pivoting to a blockbuster trade for Garrett Crochet.
Shohei Ohtani takes the top spot in the first edition of the 2025 RotoWire roundtable rankings, but his lead is a very slim one.
Jesse Siegel details which prospects look ready to stick with their parent clubs and who may have to wait until next year.
Jose Ramirez and the Guardians take on the Rangers at home in Cleveland tonight. Adam Warners shares his expert MLB pick for this matchup.
In this all Check Swings edition, Jeff Stotts highlights the most prominent injuries heading into August, starting with Mike Trout who is out for the year.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
The back of Carter's baseball card looks pristine and he shined on a big postseason stage, but there is one glaring weakness to acknowledge: his inability to hit lefties. He should be a fantastic option near the top of the lineup against righties and has the speed to steal 20-plus bases. Carter's hard-hit data is middling, especially for a top prospect who is big-league ready. However, he is a master at getting the barrel to the ball and taking opposite-handed pitchers out to the pull side. Carter's 13.4 O-Swing% was incredibly low, especially for a rookie hitter who also slugged .645 in 75 MLB plate appearances. For now, he is a premium platoon prospect. He went hitless with one walk and six strikeouts in 11 plate appearances against big-league lefties and notched one extra-base hit (a double) while striking out 28 times in 106 plate appearances against southpaws at Double-A and Triple-A. The Rangers are loaded, so Carter may platoon, but he could still go 15/20 with a high OBP and won't turn 22 until August.
More Fantasy News
Has ablation procedure on back
Carter underwent an ablation procedure on his back last week, Jeff Wilson of AllDLLS.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Hopes to swing bat in 9-to-10 weeks
Carter (back) said Sunday that he doesn't expect to require surgery and hopes to resume swinging a bat in 9-to-10 weeks, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Likely out for regular season
Rangers general manager Chris Young said Tuesday that Carter (back) isn't expected to play again during the regular season, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Shifts to 60-day IL
The Rangers transferred Carter (back) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Getting second opinion
Carter was shut down from baseball activities Friday and will get a second opinion on his lower back soreness, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Demotion not yet considered
Rangers manager Bruce Bochy indicated Friday that he has yet to think about a potential demotion for Carter, reports Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News.
ANALYSIS
Carter had a solid start to his MLB career by hitting .306 in 23 games last year and finished April with five homers and a .776 OPS, but he's batting just .132 in May and is without a hit in his past 20 at-bats. The 21-year-old already isn't seeing starts against left-handed pitching, and more time on the bench isn't a solution for a prized prospect. A trip to the minors could be in store if Carter's struggles continue to linger, but for now it appears he'll continue to serve as Texas' primary left fielder versus right-handed pitching.
Carter had a solid start to his MLB career by hitting .306 in 23 games last year and finished April with five homers and a .776 OPS, but he's batting just .132 in May and is without a hit in his past 20 at-bats. The 21-year-old already isn't seeing starts against left-handed pitching, and more time on the bench isn't a solution for a prized prospect. A trip to the minors could be in store if Carter's struggles continue to linger, but for now it appears he'll continue to serve as Texas' primary left fielder versus right-handed pitching.