Dylan Carlson
26-Year-Old
Free Agent
2024 Stats
AVG
.209
HR
3
RBI
25
R
19
SB
2
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
There was a time when Carlson was one of the top prospects in baseball. There was not a scenario where anyone envisioned Carlson would be a free agent at age 26 after being dumped by his second organization, but that is where Carlson is at press time as he was non-tendered by Tampa Bay at the deadline. The Rays acquired Carlson at the last second of the deadline and hoped they had some more magic dust in the cupboard that was applied to Randy Arozarena and Tommy Pham when those two outfielders were acquired from St. Louis, but the cannister must have had an expiration date as Carlson did very little for the Rays. He hit all 3 of his homer for them and hit 20 points better after the trade, but hit actual and expected batting average on non-offspeed pitches was below .200 and his swing and miss rate was at least 30% on all pitch types. The old adage says once you display a skill, you own it applies here because Carlson is nearly 1750 plate appearances into a major league career and outside of a hot second half of 2021 where he hit 11 homers with a .277/.343/.505 slash line, he has done very little over the remaining 1500 plate appearances on his resume. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
Let go by Rays
Carlson was non-tendered by the Rays on Friday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Carlson was dealt to the Rays at the trade deadline and posted a .615 OPS, which was an improvement from his first half of the season with the Cardinals. Given his pedigree, and because he's still only 26 years old, Carlson may get a big-league deal from someone. However, his career 94 wRC+ and .304 wOBA likely mean he'll struggle to find regular playing time.
Carlson was dealt to the Rays at the trade deadline and posted a .615 OPS, which was an improvement from his first half of the season with the Cardinals. Given his pedigree, and because he's still only 26 years old, Carlson may get a big-league deal from someone. However, his career 94 wRC+ and .304 wOBA likely mean he'll struggle to find regular playing time.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
2
1
8
7
2
3
2
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
1
3
4
13
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2024
+13%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .747 | 342 | 6 | 31 | .265 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .600 | 666 | 10 | 64 | .204 | ||||
2024vs Left | .603 | 116 | 1 | 9 | .212 | ||||
2024vs Right | .533 | 149 | 2 | 17 | .206 | ||||
2023vs Left | .771 | 85 | 2 | 7 | .268 | ||||
2023vs Right | .592 | 170 | 3 | 20 | .196 | ||||
2022vs Left | .845 | 141 | 3 | 15 | .305 | ||||
2022vs Right | .633 | 347 | 5 | 27 | .207 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+17%
OPS at Home
2024
+24%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .702 | 491 | 10 | 55 | .238 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .600 | 517 | 6 | 39 | .211 | ||||
2024Home | .628 | 121 | 2 | 13 | .241 | ||||
2024Away | .505 | 144 | 1 | 12 | .179 | ||||
2023Home | .657 | 140 | 3 | 16 | .220 | ||||
2023Away | .643 | 115 | 2 | 11 | .219 | ||||
2022Home | .771 | 230 | 5 | 26 | .249 | ||||
2022Away | .631 | 258 | 3 | 16 | .226 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.29BB Rate
8.3%K Rate
28.3%BABIP
.288ISO
.068AVG
.209OBP
.287SLG
.277OPS
.563wOBA
.259Exit Velocity
86.8 mphHard Hit Rate
26.4%Barrels/PA
1.5%Expected BA
.195Expected SLG
.270Sprint Speed
23.1 ft/secGround Ball %
41.0%Line Drive %
20.5%Fly Ball %
38.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson See More
Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers are one of 14 teams with a seven-game schedule from September 16-22. Todd Zola highlights the matchups and unveils his weekly hitter rankings.
The Cleveland Guardians are one of six teams with seven games the week of September 9 to September 15. See how they and the rest of the MLB rank in Todd Zola's weekly hitter rankings.
Parker Meadows has locked down the Tigers' leadoff spot against righties and has started making contact at a high clip for the first time in his career.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Just a few short years ago, Carlson was regarded as a promising, up-and-coming big leaguer, but his shine has taken a considerable hit on account of his .230/.316/.364 batting line over the past two seasons (743 plate appearances). He injured his left ankle in mid-May of last year and battled the ankle throughout the campaign before ultimately undergoing surgery in September. The outfielder was cleared for running and baseball activities in December, but he will still be brought along slowly in spring training. Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol once considered Carlson his leadoff hitter of the future, and his optimism was justified after a 2021 season in which Carlson had 53 extra-base hits and a .343 OBP at the age of 22. Now 25, Carlson figures to bounce back with better luck on the health front, though he is not assured a regular role out of camp and may in fact open the year as the Cardinals' fourth outfielder.
More Fantasy News
Ends season with three hits
Carlson went 3-for-4 with an RBI on Sunday against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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At DH, batting second Monday
Carlson will start at designated hitter and bat second in Monday's game versus the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Idle Wednesday
Carlson isn't in the Rays' lineup for Wednesday's game against the Athletics, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Tuesday's lineup
Carlson is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game at Oakland, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Sunday
Carlson is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Diamondbacks, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Three teams showing interest
Carlson is drawing trade interest from the Guardians, Angels and Nationals, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Carlson is a change-of-scenery candidate, having slashed just .212/.303/.300 while being limited to only 135 games due to injury since the start of the 2023 season. The switch hitter is still just 25 and under team control through 2026, and there appear to be some clubs interested in buying low.
Carlson is a change-of-scenery candidate, having slashed just .212/.303/.300 while being limited to only 135 games due to injury since the start of the 2023 season. The switch hitter is still just 25 and under team control through 2026, and there appear to be some clubs interested in buying low.