Bryan Reynolds

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Pittsburgh Pirates

2024 Stats

AVG

.275

RBI

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Reynolds is on a four-year run of production after the 2020 season scared so many into thinking 2019 was a fluke. What is particularly impressive is just how consistent Reynolds has been over these most three seasons with his counting category production around the volatility of what batting average brings to the table. Yes, his walk rate has declined a bit in each of those seasons which has cut into his OBP rates, but the new stolen base environment uncovered more value for Reynolds so he is now a true five-category contributor hitting in the top of the lineup. The switch-hitter is at his best as a lefty, and has come to really enjoy hitting at PNC as well. 2024 saw him once again feast on fastball with 17 of his 24 homers coming off heaters. This continues a trend of him hitting at least 16 homers off fastballs in each of the past four seasons. The one negative to look at was a second half performance with a .261/.338/.380 slash line and 6 homers compared to the .284/.347/.487 with 18 homers before the break. Maybe mix in a day off here and there in 2025? Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats B

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 205

DOB 1/27/1995

Born Baltimore, MD

College Vanderbilt

Drafted 2nd Rd 2016 SF

Expected to see time at first base

OFPittsburgh Pirates

December 5, 2024

The Pirates plan to play Reynolds at first base, at least on a part-time basis, in 2025, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
Reynolds has never played first base in pro ball, but he began working out there in September of this past season. The soon-to-be 30-year-old graded out as one of the worst outfield defenders in baseball in 2024, ranking in the first percentile in Outs Above Average. How much action Reynolds ultimately sees at first base could depend not only on how well he takes to the position but also how the Pirates address the position this offseason.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

110

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+10%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+14%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+13%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+3%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.742	576	60	18	74	7	.275	.323	.419
Since 2022vs Right	.819	1370	172	57	160	22	.264	.347	.472
2024vs Left	.720	203	15	6	29	2	.266	.315	.404
2024vs Right	.821	489	58	18	59	8	.279	.356	.465
2023vs Left	.726	202	24	5	27	5	.285	.312	.415
2023vs Right	.821	438	61	19	57	7	.252	.338	.483
2022vs Left	.787	171	21	7	18	0	.273	.345	.442
2022vs Right	.814	443	53	20	44	7	.258	.345	.469
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+4%

OPS on Road

2024

+14%

OPS at Home

2023

+17%

OPS on Road

2022

+12%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.778	948	121	31	109	11	.264	.344	.435
Since 2022Away	.811	998	111	44	125	18	.269	.336	.476
2024Home	.843	342	46	13	47	3	.292	.360	.484
2024Away	.739	350	27	11	41	7	.258	.329	.411
2023Home	.723	306	39	8	36	4	.244	.327	.396
2023Away	.849	334	46	16	48	8	.280	.332	.516
2022Home	.759	300	36	10	26	4	.252	.343	.416
2022Away	.851	314	38	17	36	3	.271	.347	.504
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Stat Review

How does Bryan Reynolds compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.37

BB Rate

8.2%

K Rate

22.5%

BABIP

.330

ISO

.172

AVG

.275

OBP

.344

SLG

.447

OPS

.791

wOBA

.347

Exit Velocity

89.9 mph

Hard Hit Rate

34.7%

Barrels/PA

6.5%

Expected BA

.270

Expected SLG

.463

Sprint Speed

23.1 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

45.8%

Line Drive %

22.0%

Fly Ball %

32.2%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Bryan Reynolds Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Pirates Depth Chart

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2017

Reyolds appeared on the way out of Pittsburgh after requesting a trade last offseason, but he instead inked an eight-year, $106.75 million extension early in 2023 to end the contract drama. On the field it was more of the same for the outfielder, as he played in 145 games for the second straight year, though his .790 OPS, 24 homers and 8.5 percent walk rate were a bit down from 2022. However, he set a career high with 12 stolen bases and improved his strikeout rate to 21.6 percent to go along with 85 runs and 84 RBI. He's been well above average at the plate over the past two years but has been unable to replicate the .302/.390/.522 slash line he posted in 2021, and the recent production may be more realistic to expect moving forward. With that said, Reynolds enters 2024 as a reliable and extremely productive fantasy option in the outfield as he enters his age-29 campaign.

2022 was another year of the perpetual rebuild in Pittsburgh where little went well, but that did not stop Reynolds from building off his successful 2021 campaign. The batting average fell as Reynolds continues a cycle of BABIP peaks and valleys year after year, but he set a career high in homers and steals while compiling for an otherwise dreadful lineup. Only he, Cal Raleigh, and Byron Buxton hit as many as 25 homers while failing to score 75+ runs or drive in 65+. Buxton played in many fewer games than Reynolds while the rest of Raleigh's profile is distant from Reynolds's production. The low run production just speaks to the surrounding cast issues for Reynolds which will continue unless the club trades him now that he is into his arbitration years. Their track record says they will, and a relocation would be a nitrous-oxide boost to his fantasy value in 2023.

After a disappointing 2020 season, Reynolds bounced back in a major way. Reynolds and Juan Soto were the only two hitters in 2021 with a batting average north of .300 to go along with more than 90 runs, 90 RBI, 20 homers and five steals. Both his strikeouts (18.4 K%) and BABIP (.345) improved. While he has just been in the league for three seasons, Reynolds has developed a good, not great profile. He's not a zero in any one category, but fantasy managers are always looking for more than roughly 25 homers and five stolen bases. His walk rate jumped to a career-high 11.6% as pitchers no longer throw him fastballs (49% to 46% to 44%). As a switch hitter, he's been better against righties (.874 OPS), but not a drag against lefties (.817 OPS). His near-.300 average is the key for his fantasy value. We saw in 2020 what the downside looks like, but at the same time, there aren't any obvious holes in his game.

Reynolds was red-hot upon arrival in 2019, slashing .314/.377/.503 across 546 PA with the Pirates and finishing fourth in the NL Rookie of the Year vote. Cold water rained down in the form of a .189/.275/.357 slash line in his sophomore season. His strikeout rate shot up to 27.4% in 2020 and most of the batted-ball numbers provide little reason optimism, although Reynolds did up his barrel rate to a respectable 10,2% while also improving his walk rate to 10.1%. The Pirates need to determine which version of Reynolds is real; is it the three-plus win outfielder or something closer to the replacement-level player we saw in 2020? He does not seem to have many fans left in fantasy -- we can be fickle creatures -- but it makes sense that most find it tough to get excited considering the team context and lack of speed.

Reynolds, who was acquired from the Giants in the Andrew McCutchen trade, opened the season with Triple-A Indianapolis, where he hit .367 with five homers in 13 games before getting called up to the majors to replace the injured Starling Marte. The outfielder kept on hitting following his promotion, kicking off his big-league career with an 11-game hitting streak and finishing the season with a .314/.377/.503 triple-slash and 16 homers in 546 plate appearances. While Reynolds struggled down the stretch (.230 AVG in September), showed platoon splits (.756 OPS vs. LHP, .931 OPS vs. RHP) and ultimately benefitted from a .387 BABIP, the underlying numbers largely support his breakout. He isn't a flashy pick, but the switch hitter provides a nice floor thanks to his strong batting average and placement near the top of Pittsburgh's lineup -- he primarily hit second last year, which led to 83 runs.

Reynolds was one of the surprises of the draft. Pegged as a clear first-round talent, he fell to the Giants at pick 59, receiving an over-slot $1.35 million bonus. He lived up to his billing as a quality hitter, particularly with short-season Salem-Keizer (141 wRC+), but after getting promoted to Low-A Augusta in August, some strikeout issues began to surface. A 30.3 percent strikeout rate and 4.5 percent walk rate would not be overly alarming for a prep hitter getting his first taste of pro ball, but it was less excusable for a bat-first player from the SEC. His 124 wRC+ in a small sample at Low-A looks solid, but a .452 BABIP was largely to blame for his success there. Reynolds is destined for left field, as he lacks the tools and instincts for center field and lacks the arm for right field. This means he will have to really hit in the coming years while also improving his approach. There's a 20-homer/20-steal left fielder here if you squint hard enough, and that's enough to warrant ownership in leagues where 200 prospects are rostered.

More Fantasy News

Belts two homers

OFPittsburgh Pirates

September 28, 2024

Reynolds went 2-for-3 with two home runs, three RBI and a walk in Friday's win over the Yankees.