Bobby Miller

25-Year-Old PitcherSP

Los Angeles Dodgers

2024 Stats

W-L

2-4

ERA

8.52

WHIP

1.77

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Following a promising rookie campaign, Miller was slated to be a key piece of the Dodgers' rotation in 2024, but after a dominant six-inning, 11-strikeout, scoreless first start, he took a big step back and ended the year in the minors. Injuries played a part in his rough campaign, as the right-hander missed over two months early with a shoulder issue and later dealt with a minor knee injury. All told, the right-hander posted an ugly 8.52 ERA and 1.77 WHIP while serving up 17 homers over just 56 innings. Miller's Statcast numbers tell the story of a hurler who didn't fool many hitters and was continuously pounded -- while his 97.5 mph average fastball velocity ranked in the 94th percentile among pitchers, he ranked in just the 27th percentile with a 20.2% strikeout rate and in the first percentile in allowing a 91.5 mph average exit velocity. Miller looked so great as a rookie that Los Angeles is likely to give him a chance to turn things around, but he may have to compete with Tony Gonsolin, Dustin May, Landon Knack and possibly others for the sixth spot in what projects to be a deep Dodgers rotation. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'5"

Weight 220

DOB 4/5/1999

Drafted 1st Rd 2020

Optioned back to OKC

PLos Angeles Dodgers

September 18, 2024

The Dodgers optioned Miller to Triple-A Oklahoma City on Wednesday, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.

ANALYSIS
The move comes one day after another poor start in which Miller surrendered four runs on seven hits and one walk across two innings against the Marlins. He's managed an ugly 8.52 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in a horribly disappointing 2024 campaign. The Dodgers have not yet announced a replacement for Miller's spot in the rotation.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2024 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2023 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Bobby Miller generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Bobby Miller generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-14%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-2%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-20%

BAA vs LHP

2022

No Stats

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.234	391	93	37	82	12	4	14
Since 2022vs Right	.271	372	78	25	92	17	0	15
2024vs Left	.303	123	28	14	33	2	1	9
2024vs Right	.308	135	24	16	36	5	0	8
2023vs Left	.202	268	65	23	49	10	3	5
2023vs Right	.252	237	54	9	56	12	0	7
2022vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-20%

ERA at Home

2024

-60%

ERA at Home

2023

-32%

ERA on Road

2022

No Stats

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	4.63	1.11	83.2	7	3	0	8.7	2.8	1.4
Since 2022Away	5.77	1.48	96.2	6	5	0	8.4	3.4	1.5
2024Home	4.78	1.18	26.1	2	0	0	9.9	3.8	2.1
2024Away	11.83	2.29	29.2	0	4	0	7.0	5.8	3.3
2023Home	4.55	1.08	57.1	5	3	0	8.2	2.4	1.1
2023Away	3.09	1.12	67.0	6	1	0	9.0	2.3	0.7
2022Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Bobby Miller compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

1.73

K/9

8.4

BB/9

4.8

HR/9

2.7

Fastball

97.6 mph

ERA

8.52

WHIP

1.77

BABIP

.329

GB/FB

1.45

Left On Base

61.2%

Exit Velocity

84.2 mph

Barrels/BBE

6.5%

Spin Rate

2333 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

28.0%

Swinging Strike

10.1%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Bobby Miller Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

There is no other way to say it; Miller is going to be one of the most highly sought after pitchers in fantasy baseball this season after his successful rookie debut. He won half his 22 starts at the big league level showcasing elite velocity as well as six different offerings - five of which had at least a 20% whiff rate attached to them. It is impossible not to be excited about Miller's fantasy future as long as his right arm avoids the surgeon's table after watching so many talented pitchers run into that unfortunate future in recent seasons and especially last season. The only area where Miller could stand to improve is generating more strikeouts as his current production is not limited by his stuff but more by the fact opposing batters do not chase his stuff out of the zone. Once he is able to get hitters into protect mode more frequently, the sky is the limit for him. Miller's upside is staff ace, but it is unlikely he will provide the same volume of other aces in 2024.

Miller's pure stuff and ability to miss bats has not been in question since he was drafted by the Dodgers at the end of the first round in 2020. Inconsistency has been an issue for most of his pro career, but he finished 2022 with his best run to date. From July on, the 6-foot-5 righty logged a 3.56 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and an 82:16 K:BB in 55.2 innings across 11 starts between Double-A and Triple-A. Even in this impressive stretch, Miller failed to make it out of the third inning in three of his 11 starts and he struck out double-digit batters in four of 11 starts, so inconsistency remains. However, when he was on, he looked like a potential high-strikeout No. 2 starter whose power arsenal (fastball/slider/changeup) should make up for imperfect command and mechanics. The Dodgers have fifth starter candidates Ryan Pepiot and Michael Grove on the 40-man roster while the more exciting duo of Gavin Stone and Miller remain off the 40-man roster entering the year. This may not be a meritocracy right away, and the team could still trade for or sign another starter to further crowd the picture.

The No. 29 pick in the 2020 draft, Miller made his pro debut in 2021, logging 66.1 innings across High-A, Double-A and the Arizona Fall League. An oblique strain limited his innings, but his 7.2 BB% and 28.9 K% across his three stops were strong marks. He has good size at 6-foot-5, 220 pounds, and he can touch 100 mph with his mid-90s fastballs -- he throws both a four-seamer and a sinker. He throws three secondaries, all of which have above-average to plus potential. Miller was babied for most of the year, throwing less than four innings in 12 of his 17 pre-AFL starts. It might even be a stretch for Miller to get up over 100 innings in his age-23 season. There's a high ceiling to dream on, but there's also still plenty of risk that he doesn't make it as a true 160-plus inning starter.

The Dodgers have had success getting the most out of pitching prospects, and they have a lot to work with in Miller, the No. 29 overall pick in last year's draft. Despite a big frame (6-foot-5, 220 pounds) and a quality four-pitch repertoire, he carries some bullpen risk, as he had an 11.2 BB% in 2019 and a 9.7 BB% in four starts as a junior at Louisville. His mid-90s sinker touches 99 mph, but he might be better served emphasizing his fourseamer more in pro ball. He also has a plus slider that can touch the low-90s along with a changeup and curveball that have above-average potential. He has an unusual delivery and worked as a reliever for parts of his first two campaigns, only logging 20 starts across two-plus seasons. All of his shortcomings are potentially correctable, and the quality and depth of his arsenal suggests he could develop into a No. 2 starter if he can improve his command.

More Fantasy News

Struggles continue vs. Marlins

PLos Angeles Dodgers

September 17, 2024

Miller allowed four runs on seven hits and a walk across two innings in a no-decision Tuesday against Miami. He struck out two.