Carson Smith

35-Year-Old PitcherP
 Free Agent  
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Carson Smith in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Red Sox in December of 2018. Released by the Red Sox in June of 2019.
Cut loose by Red Sox
PFree Agent  
Shoulder
June 19, 2019
Smith (shoulder) was released by the Red Sox on Wednesday, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Smith has been out of commission all season while working his way back from shoulder surgery he underwent last June. The injury-prone reliever will need to prove his health before getting a shot with another team.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Injuries limited Smith to just 23.2 innings during his first three seasons with the Red Sox. His first two years in Boston were derailed by Tommy John surgery, while his 2018 campaign was cut short by a right shoulder subluxation -- suffered while throwing his glove in the dugout -- that ultimately required season-ending surgery in June. Prior to going under the knife, Smith compiled a 3.77 ERA and 18:6 K:BB across 14.1 innings of relief. The 29-year-old has shown promise when healthy, with a career 2.21 ERA and 11.4 K/9 across parts of five big-league seasons (102 innings). He returned to the Red Sox on a minor-league deal and will get a chance to work his way back onto the roster during spring training.
Smith took longer than expected to return to the Boston bullpen following 2016 Tommy John surgery, but he worked through setbacks and made his season debut in September. During the final month of the season, Smith made eight appearances and logged a total of 6.2 innings, finishing with one earned run allowed and a 7:2 K:BB. Most importantly, his velocity wasn't far from his pre-surgery levels, as he averaged 92.0 mph on his fastball, 84.6 on his slider, and 88.0 on his changeup, and he was generating outs on the ground at a clip above 60 percent again. At his best in 2015 with the Mariners, Smith was a 90-strikeout reliever with good ratios, and if he's able to use his slider as often as he did before going under the knife, it's reasonable to think that he'll be part of the improved late-inning combination the Red Sox use to get the ball to Craig Kimbrel in the ninth inning this season.
Smith was acquired from the Mariners in the offseason prior to the 2016 campaign and was seen as part of the mix to pitch setup innings for closer Craig Kimbrel, but a spring forearm injury lingered into the season and eventually required Tommy John surgery. Boston gave up a starter in Wade Miley to acquire Smith but viewed the reliever as a key bullpen piece. On the strength of a wipeout slider, Smith was coming off a stellar 2015 in which he struck out 34.2 percent of batters faced (ranked 11th among relievers) and registered an 11.8 K/9 (12th). The right hander with the unorthodox delivery commanded the strike zone well, too, and didn't give up many home runs (two in 70 innings). There are reports that he could throw during the spring, but the smart money has Smith coming back around June.
Smith fulfilled much of his potential as a dominant late-inning reliever last season, but when given the chance to take over the closer role, he didn't capitalize. The right-hander blew five save chances in 18 opportunities, allowing nine earned runs in 18.1 innings (4.41 ERA), and eventually relinquished the job. Smith certainly has the talent to close. He neutralizes righties (.169 BAA) with a devastating sidearm slider and left-handers (.227) with good changeup in addition to a sinking fastball that helped generate a 4.00 GB/FB ratio. His fastball command contributed to a mere two homers allowed, and despite a modest 92.9 mph average fastball, the 6-foot-6 Smith is an excellent strikeout pitcher. He whiffed 32.4% of the batters he faced, sixth among AL relievers. He was the key piece in a December trade that sent him to Boston, where he will eventually set up for Craig Kimbrel in a vastly improved Red Sox bullpen. However, he will begin the season on the disabled list with a strained flexor mass muscle in his right forearm, and should be considered out indefinitely.
Smith has shot through the system since being drafted in the eighth round in 2011, making the jump to Triple-A Tacoma to begin 2014 before a September callup. The right-hander impressed in his short time with the club, throwing 8.1 shutout innings across nine appearances. His best pitch is perhaps his sidearm slider that's more effective against right-handers, while his changeup is the choice against lefties. A sinking fastball helped him get 13 groundouts to one flyout with the Mariners. The 6-foot-6 Smith will compete for a relief job in spring training, though the bullpen is well stocked. Even if he doesn't make the team out of spring, he'll likely be in Seattle at some point. He also could be used as trade bait or insurance if the Mariners move one of their other bullpen pieces.
More Fantasy News
Shifts to minor-league camp
PBoston Red Sox  
Shoulder
March 12, 2019
The Red Sox assigned Smith (shoulder) to minor-league camp Tuesday, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
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Limited to simulated throws
PBoston Red Sox  
Shoulder
February 14, 2019
Smith (shoulder) was limited to simulating a throwing motion with a towel Tuesday as Red Sox pitchers and catchers reported to spring training this week, the Boston Herald reports.
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Set to miss beginning of season
PBoston Red Sox  
Shoulder
January 17, 2019
President of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski said "it'll be awhile" before Smith (shoulder) will be able to pitch in games, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
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Inks minor-league deal with Boston
PBoston Red Sox  
Shoulder
December 30, 2018
Smith (shoulder) signed a minor-league contract with the Red Sox on Sunday, Brandon Warne of ZoneCoverage.com reports.
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Elects free agency
PFree Agent  
Shoulder
November 1, 2018
Smith (shoulder) was reinstated from the 60-day disabled list Thursday and elected to become a free agent.
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