This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| James Shields | Hunter Wood | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 1:10 PM | ||
| Deck McGuire | Shane Bieber | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 1:10 PM | ||
| Julio Teheran | Corey Oswalt | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 8.5 | 115 | 1:10 PM |
| Luis Castillo | Tanner Roark | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 9.0 | -165 | 1:35 |
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| James Shields | Hunter Wood | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 1:10 PM | ||
| Deck McGuire | Shane Bieber | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 1:10 PM | ||
| Julio Teheran | Corey Oswalt | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 8.5 | 115 | 1:10 PM |
| Luis Castillo | Tanner Roark | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 9.0 | -165 | 1:35 PM |
| Jack Flaherty | Trevor Williams | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 8.5 | -105 | 1:35 PM |
| Dan Straily | Aaron Nola | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 1:35 PM | ||
| Jon Gray | Wade Miley | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 8.5 | 100 | 2:10 PM |
| Danny Duffy | Ervin Santana | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 8.5 | -160 | 2:10 PM |
| Joey Lucchesi | Jon Lester | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
| Yefry Ramirez | Drew Hutchison | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 11.0 | -135 | 3:05 PM |
| Francisco Liriano | Trevor Cahill | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 8.5 | -250 | 4:05 PM |
| Derek Holland | Robbie Ray | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 8.0 | -185 | 4:10 PM |
| Sam Gaviglio | Mike Leake | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.5 | -160 | 4:10 PM |
| Gerrit Cole | Walker Buehler | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.5 | -115 | 4:10 PM |
| Masahiro Tanaka | David Price | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 9.0 | -130 | 8:08 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber (R) | v LAA | 51.3 | 23.0 | 4.5 | 18.5 | 1.05 | 4.73 | 1.42 | $7,400 | $7,400 | 117 | 21.2 |
| Walker Buehler (R) | v HOU | 78.3 | 25.8 | 6.8 | 18.9 | 1.03 | 4.14 | 1.17 | $9,900 | $8,000 | 110 | 19.1 |
| Trevor Cahill (R) | v DET | 153.0 | 23.2 | 10.2 | 13.0 | 1.29 | 4.24 | 1.39 | $7,400 | $7,500 | 77 | 22.6 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | at WAS | 205.0 | 24.4 | 8.1 | 16.3 | 1.32 | 4.17 | 1.21 | $7,900 | $6,900 | 105 | 19.9 |
| Gerrit Cole (R) | at LAD | 344.3 | 27.8 | 7.3 | 20.5 | 1.18 | 3.55 | 1.14 | $12,600 | $10,800 | 118 | 21.9 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | at MIN | 278.3 | 20.9 | 8.6 | 12.3 | 1.07 | 4.14 | 1.36 | $8,000 | $8,800 | 78 | 24.0 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | at PIT | 111.7 | 28.1 | 9.0 | 19.1 | 1.45 | 4.03 | 1.21 | $8,500 | $7,500 | 102 | 18.9 |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | at SEA | 146.7 | 18.3 | 7.9 | 10.4 | 1.78 | 4.72 | 1.39 | $4,000 | $6,200 | 103 | 19.9 |
| Jon Gray (R) | at MIL | 224.0 | 26.1 | 6.7 | 19.3 | 0.88 | 4.34 | 1.32 | $8,800 | $9,400 | 101 | 22.4 |
| Derek Holland (L) | at ARI | 248.0 | 19.8 | 10.5 | 9.3 | 1.67 | 5.15 | 1.51 | $6,400 | $6,800 | 97 | 22.1 |
| Drew Hutchison (R) | v BAL | 21.3 | 20.2 | 13.8 | 6.4 | 1.69 | 4.64 | 1.59 | $5,600 | 81 | 25.2 | |
| Mike Leake (R) | v TOR | 320.0 | 15.7 | 4.9 | 10.8 | 1.04 | 4.02 | 1.29 | $5,700 | $7,200 | 103 | 22.6 |
| Jon Lester (L) | v SD | 306.3 | 21.6 | 8.5 | 13.2 | 1.26 | 3.88 | 1.30 | $8,100 | $8,200 | 91 | 24.1 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at OAK | 182.7 | 19.3 | 12.7 | 6.6 | 1.13 | 5.07 | 1.53 | $5,400 | $5,600 | 109 | 22.7 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | at CHC | 77.0 | 24.0 | 8.6 | 15.4 | 1.52 | 3.74 | 1.26 | $6,500 | $7,200 | 101 | 21.8 |
| Deck McGuire (R) | at CLE | 38.7 | 18.7 | 9.9 | 8.8 | 2.09 | 4.89 | 1.34 | $4,400 | $5,500 | 110 | 19.3 |
| Wade Miley (L) | v COL | 186.7 | 18.8 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 1.21 | 4.97 | 1.64 | $6,600 | $6,400 | 107 | 21.2 |
| Aaron Nola (R) | v MIA | 310.0 | 26.2 | 7.0 | 19.2 | 0.73 | 2.99 | 1.10 | $12,400 | $10,000 | 90 | 22.9 |
| Corey Oswalt (R) | v ATL | 27.3 | 17.6 | 7.4 | 10.2 | 1.65 | 5.27 | 0.99 | $5,500 | $6,000 | 96 | 20.7 |
| David Price (L) | v NYY | 197.0 | 23.7 | 7.3 | 16.4 | 1.19 | 3.75 | 1.21 | $9,000 | 135 | 22.4 | |
| Yefry Ramirez (R) | at TEX | 33.3 | 23.8 | 9.1 | 14.7 | 1.62 | 4.59 | 1.26 | $5,000 | $6,200 | 96 | 25.8 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | v SF | 228.0 | 32.1 | 10.9 | 21.2 | 1.42 | 3.51 | 1.22 | $8,200 | $8,500 | 91 | 19.8 |
| Tanner Roark (R) | v CIN | 311.0 | 21.3 | 8.1 | 13.1 | 1.13 | 4.54 | 1.32 | $9,600 | $7,800 | 105 | 20.1 |
| Ervin Santana (R) | v KC | 221.7 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 1.38 | 3.41 | 1.15 | $6,500 | $6,600 | 80 | 21.8 |
| James Shields (R) | at TB | 261.0 | 19.0 | 9.6 | 9.4 | 1.62 | 4.86 | 1.36 | $6,800 | $7,300 | 103 | 22.9 |
| Dan Straily (R) | at PHI | 269.3 | 21.1 | 8.8 | 12.4 | 1.60 | 4.31 | 1.33 | $6,100 | $6,800 | 103 | 24.2 |
| Masahiro Tanaka (R) | at BOS | 276.7 | 25.7 | 5.8 | 19.9 | 1.72 | 4.42 | 1.17 | $9,200 | 119 | 17.8 | |
| Julio Teheran (R) | at NYM | 303.3 | 19.8 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 1.54 | 4.48 | 1.33 | $7,800 | $7,600 | 92 | 22.2 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | v STL | 261.3 | 17.5 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 0.90 | 3.99 | 1.28 | $7,200 | $6,700 | 95 | 21.6 |
| Hunter Wood (R) | v CWS | 21.0 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 18.7 | 1.29 | 3.00 | 1.33 | $4,300 | $5,500 | 99 | 25.5 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Shane Bieber (R) | v LAA | 22.9 | 6.8 | 16.1 | 1.40 | 0.414 | 23.1 | 1.9 | 21.2 | 0.70 | 0.280 |
| Walker Buehler (R) | v HOU | 28.7 | 6.7 | 22.0 | 0.96 | 0.284 | 23.3 | 7.0 | 16.3 | 1.11 | 0.294 |
| Trevor Cahill (R) | v DET | 22.5 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 0.93 | 0.309 | 23.8 | 9.6 | 14.2 | 1.41 | 0.323 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | at WAS | 22.9 | 8.7 | 14.2 | 1.54 | 0.334 | 25.8 | 7.6 | 18.3 | 1.13 | 0.287 |
| Gerrit Cole (R) | at LAD | 28.1 | 7.8 | 20.3 | 1.18 | 0.321 | 23.2 | 6.8 | 16.4 | 0.88 | 0.283 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | at MIN | 27.0 | 4.4 | 22.6 | 0.43 | 0.222 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 13.7 | 1.35 | 0.333 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | at PIT | 22.1 | 11.7 | 10.4 | 1.51 | 0.318 | 33.9 | 6.4 | 27.5 | 1.40 | 0.297 |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | at SEA | 14.7 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 1.52 | 0.349 | 21.3 | 7.2 | 14.1 | 1.98 | 0.352 |
| Jon Gray (R) | at MIL | 25.4 | 7.6 | 17.7 | 1.04 | 0.312 | 26.8 | 7.1 | 19.6 | 0.78 | 0.310 |
| Derek Holland (L) | at ARI | 14.9 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 0.70 | 0.274 | 19.1 | 10.0 | 9.1 | 1.78 | 0.369 |
| Drew Hutchison (R) | v BAL | 16.9 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 1.53 | 0.395 | 23.7 | 7.9 | 15.8 | 1.95 | 0.346 |
| Mike Leake (R) | v TOR | 13.6 | 5.4 | 8.2 | 1.06 | 0.325 | 18.2 | 3.8 | 14.4 | 1.00 | 0.320 |
| Jon Lester (L) | v SD | 27.6 | 5.1 | 22.4 | 0.89 | 0.267 | 21.5 | 8.5 | 13.0 | 1.21 | 0.307 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at OAK | 23.1 | 8.4 | 14.7 | 0.89 | 0.288 | 20.5 | 13.2 | 7.2 | 1.39 | 0.355 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | at CHC | 23.6 | 9.7 | 13.9 | 0.00 | 0.304 | 24.1 | 8.3 | 15.8 | 1.91 | 0.322 |
| Deck McGuire (R) | at CLE | 14.6 | 9.8 | 4.9 | 0.93 | 0.274 | 22.5 | 10.1 | 12.4 | 3.26 | 0.408 |
| Wade Miley (L) | v COL | 19.5 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 0.51 | 0.296 | 18.9 | 9.6 | 9.2 | 1.47 | 0.359 |
| Aaron Nola (R) | v MIA | 22.8 | 9.1 | 13.7 | 0.77 | 0.295 | 28.8 | 4.5 | 24.3 | 0.73 | 0.268 |
| Corey Oswalt (R) | v ATL | 15.2 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 1.46 | 0.266 | 19.4 | 4.8 | 14.5 | 1.80 | 0.288 |
| David Price (L) | v NYY | 20.2 | 3.9 | 16.2 | 1.01 | 0.307 | 24.8 | 6.8 | 18.0 | 1.22 | 0.308 |
| Yefry Ramirez (R) | at TEX | 25.7 | 16.2 | 9.5 | 1.13 | 0.343 | 21.7 | 1.4 | 20.3 | 2.08 | 0.291 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | v SF | 34.9 | 5.5 | 29.4 | 1.03 | 0.276 | 29.0 | 11.4 | 17.5 | 1.44 | 0.325 |
| Tanner Roark (R) | v CIN | 20.2 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 1.09 | 0.321 | 21.4 | 6.4 | 15.0 | 0.86 | 0.284 |
| Ervin Santana (R) | v KC | 16.0 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 1.14 | 0.288 | 22.5 | 7.4 | 15.1 | 1.22 | 0.305 |
| James Shields (R) | at TB | 16.5 | 11.5 | 5.1 | 1.81 | 0.353 | 19.3 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 1.73 | 0.348 |
| Dan Straily (R) | at PHI | 20.4 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 1.20 | 0.319 | 21.3 | 6.1 | 15.3 | 1.87 | 0.327 |
| Masahiro Tanaka (R) | at BOS | 23.3 | 4.8 | 18.5 | 1.34 | 0.292 | 23.7 | 5.5 | 18.2 | 1.48 | 0.308 |
| Julio Teheran (R) | at NYM | 16.7 | 12.6 | 4.2 | 1.45 | 0.336 | 24.5 | 3.9 | 20.6 | 1.27 | 0.283 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | v STL | 14.6 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 0.97 | 0.324 | 20.3 | 8.7 | 11.6 | 1.00 | 0.305 |
| Hunter Wood (R) | v CWS | 31.7 | 14.6 | 17.1 | 0.96 | 0.296 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 1.54 | 0.317 |
